NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	75		Excitement	5.9 [658]		MVP	Shane Battier (HOU): +37.1%
Houston Rockets	82		Comeback	1.5 [975]		LVP	Randy Foye (MIN): -15.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Hudson	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.05	0.13	-0.01	6	67%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.03	0.05	15	71%	0.17	4	-0.10	5	100%	0.01
Craig Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	4	80%	0.11	1	-0.09	2	100%	0.03
Trenton Hassell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marko Jaric	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	8	41%	-0.01	4	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Mike James	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	8	37%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	10	55%	0.07	4	-0.22	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.21,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.14	0.25	0.02	11	77%	0.37	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.09	0.02	15	76%	0.29	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.01
Vassilis Spanoulis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Dikembe Mutombo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.05	-0.04	12	37%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.02	0.01	15	38%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.03	14	29%	-0.03	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	26.3	15.5	20.7	2.0	33.2	122.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +10.4%

HOU +4.3%

HOU +4.7%

HOU +33.5%

MIN -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	HOU	NBA	MIN	HOU	NBA
this game	17.0	17.1	15.4	89.3	96.5	104.5
season	15.4	15.6		101.9	103.6
opponent	15.7	15.6		99.2	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.2	18.0	18.7	15.2	17.0
HOU	18.0	17.1	15.6	17.5	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Hudson	29	30	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.19	4	-11	15	16.6	17.2	-0.63	18.1	16.5	1.62
Randy Foye	42	43	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.26	4	-11	15	17.3	16.7	0.62	16.9	17.3	-0.40
Mark Madsen	13	15	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.06	-4	-3	-1	19.2	16.6	2.55	15.7	17.4	-1.72
Trenton Hassell	44	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-2	-3	17.1	16.9	0.24	16.8	17.4	-0.55
Craig Smith	34	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-8	9	18.9	15.7	3.26	16.9	17.2	-0.29
Mark Blount	46	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	1	-9	16.5	17.6	-1.11	17.6	16.5	1.01
Marko Jaric	40	41	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.24	-2	-5	3	16.9	17.1	-0.24	17.4	16.8	0.55
Kevin Garnett	71	70	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.23	-3	-4	1	16.6	19.2	-2.55	17.4	15.7	1.72
Mike James	42	42	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	4	-15	16.7	17.3	-0.62	17.3	16.9	0.40
Ricky Davis	59	60	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	4	-15	16.5	18.2	-1.77	16.3	19.0	-2.66

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rafer Alston	70	69	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.36	14	-7	21	16.6	19.2	-2.57	16.6	18.8	-2.19
Yao Ming	68	69	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.21	10	-3	13	17.5	15.2	2.31	16.8	17.9	-1.06
Shane Battier	65	65	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.25	8	-1	9	17.2	16.8	0.37	16.7	18.1	-1.43
Charles Hayes	52	52	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.27	6	1	5	17.0	17.2	-0.21	16.3	18.1	-1.82
Tracy McGrady	57	58	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.20	5	2	3	17.2	16.8	0.44	16.9	17.2	-0.22
Dikembe Mutombo	7	6	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.03	1	6	-5	16.7	17.1	-0.40	18.2	16.9	1.26
Vassilis Spanoulis	21	20	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.07	-1	8	-9	17.2	17.0	0.21	17.8	16.7	1.12
Juwan Howard	38	37	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.07	-3	10	-13	16.8	17.3	-0.43	19.3	15.2	4.11
Luther Head	47	44	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.01	-5	12	-17	17.1	17.1	-0.04	16.8	17.2	-0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.91,0.86,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.55,0.63,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 85, UTA 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.76,0.85,0.84,0.75,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.73,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.53,0.78,0.96,0.98,1	93.7%
LAL 94, ORL 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.79,0.71,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.86,0.98,1	93.5%
CHI 91, ORL 94	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.99,1	92.9%