inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 70 Excitement6.4 [527] MVPAllan Houston (NYK): +17.6%
New York Knicks 72 Comeback9.3 [144] LVPBruce Bowen (MIA): -18.7%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dan Majerle-0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,00.03-0.020.02953%-0.0000.001100%0.01
Anthony Carter-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.25,0.14,-0.03-0.01-0.04-0.021354%0.022-0.052100%0.02
Clar. Weatherspoon-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00350%-0.0300.00667%-0.03
P.J. Brown-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Otis Thorpe-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.020.0010%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Tim Hardaway-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.01714%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Jamal Mashburn-0.070,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.090.00-0.021231%-0.061-0.012100%0.01
Alonzo Mourning-0.120,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12-0.06-0.07-0.011355%-0.013-0.101471%-0.02
Bruce Bowen-0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.19-0.03-0.16-0.00550%0.021-0.21450%-0.02

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Allan Houston0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.180.180.040.130.001562%0.212-0.04475%0.06
Larry Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.01-0.01643%0.001-0.022100%0.01
Chris Childs0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.01-0.00533%-0.0200.002100%0.06
Kurt Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.000.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Patrick Ewing0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.090.01-0.011739%-0.052-0.03475%-0.00
Marcus Camby0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1-0.10-0.01-0.090.00450%-0.071-0.0300%0.00
Charlie Ward0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.07-0.030.00647%-0.033-0.08367%-0.01
Latrell Sprewell0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.08-0.05-0.001642%-0.092-0.04475%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.22.737.320.527.22.837.2152.8
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA -0.9%
NYK +23.5%
NYK +12.1%
NYK +16.5%
MIA -1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIANYKNBAMIANYKNBA
this game18.316.615.284.387.8101.7
season15.716.1101.2100.0
opponent15.815.998.898.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA15.015.721.521.918.3
NYK16.317.015.318.116.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Otis Thorpe32310.20-0.700.90-0.1211-132417.218.9-1.7015.617.3-1.69
Bruce Bowen41380.15-0.650.79-0.129-112016.420.0-3.6116.816.50.39
Clar. Weatherspoon19180.03-0.530.560.12-31-418.818.10.7518.116.21.82
Tim Hardaway4140-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.06-86-1418.218.4-0.1915.817.5-1.68
P.J. Brown4244-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.03-108-1818.318.20.1416.916.30.59
Anthony Carter4343-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.586-81418.018.5-0.4517.016.20.87
Alonzo Mourning7068-0.510.01-0.52-0.45-20-218.815.63.1416.716.20.51
Dan Majerle5960-0.610.11-0.71-0.52-31-419.415.44.0716.517.1-0.62
Jamal Mashburn6868-0.730.23-0.96-0.43-108-1818.318.00.3216.716.10.68

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Latrell Sprewell76760.73-0.230.960.498-61416.617.2-0.5718.515.62.94
Patrick Ewing73730.58-0.080.670.416-41016.815.21.5918.318.20.07
Chris Childs38370.54-0.040.590.4920217.216.11.1218.418.20.25
Allan Houston69690.490.010.480.52-13-416.517.4-0.8918.716.12.55
Marcus Camby46470.440.060.380.56-46-1017.515.51.9717.918.7-0.86
Larry Johnson5053-0.010.51-0.52-0.103-1416.616.60.0217.719.2-1.52
Kurt Thomas67-0.130.63-0.760.02-57-1214.816.8-1.9417.718.3-0.60
Charlie Ward5253-0.140.64-0.79-0.1711015.618.4-2.7318.218.4-0.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.21,0.3,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.29,0.17,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 107, ORL 1100.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.14,0.27,0.3,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.41,191.3%
TOR 109, MIN 1120.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.23,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.37,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.37,191.2%
CHA 100, MIL 1020.5,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.2,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.33,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.36,0.21,0.43,0.47,191.0%