NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	82		Excitement	6.7 [479]		MVP	Scottie Pippen (POR): +18.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	86		Comeback	3.0 [509]		LVP	Malik Sealy (MIN): -18.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	4	60%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sam Mitchell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.04
Rasho Nesterovic	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,0.03,-0.05	0.05	-0.08	0.02	15	59%	0.03	1	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	0.00	16	55%	0.06	4	-0.12	10	70%	-0.02
Bobby Jackson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Malik Sealy	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-0.01	12	31%	-0.13	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.21,0.18	0.18	0.01	0.14	-0.03	15	60%	0.24	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.04
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	11	52%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.05
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	8	67%	0.11	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	15	53%	0.05	4	-0.13	6	83%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	9	39%	-0.09	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.7	28.1	19.7	33.1	2.7	41.0	153.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +26.7%

POR +10.2%

POR +13.5%

POR +2.8%

MIN -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	POR	NBA	MIN	POR	NBA
this game	16.5	17.8	15.2	97.6	102.4	101.7
season	15.1	15.9		103.5	105.9
opponent	15.7	15.7		99.1	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.4	19.0	17.3	14.5	16.5
POR	18.2	17.0	17.0	18.9	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dean Garrett	8	8	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.04	3	-7	10	21.4	16.0	5.40	19.5	17.6	1.88
Tom Hammonds	5	4	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-5	6	17.8	16.4	1.39	13.5	18.0	-4.51
Bobby Jackson	12	14	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-3	2	16.7	16.5	0.21	20.6	17.2	3.33
Sam Mitchell	37	38	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.22	3	-7	10	17.3	15.9	1.40	17.8	17.8	0.08
Kevin Garnett	66	68	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.40	9	-13	22	16.1	18.0	-1.92	18.7	14.1	4.54
Anthony Peeler	38	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.33	4	-8	12	16.2	16.7	-0.51	18.6	17.1	1.52
Rasho Nesterovic	56	56	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	-1	-2	15.7	18.0	-2.27	18.5	16.5	2.00
Malik Sealy	56	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	0	-4	15.9	17.7	-1.84	16.9	19.6	-2.77
Joe Smith	32	31	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	7	-18	17.8	15.7	2.14	15.8	19.0	-3.16
Terrell Brandon	72	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	-1	-2	16.5	16.7	-0.21	17.2	20.6	-3.33
Wally Szczerbiak	38	37	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.04	-18	14	-32	16.4	16.5	-0.12	17.5	18.1	-0.60

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Pippen	70	70	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.31	14	-10	24	17.5	19.3	-1.79	15.8	20.1	-4.39
Damon Stoudamire	67	67	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.34	12	-8	20	17.3	19.8	-2.47	16.0	18.6	-2.63
Arvydas Sabonis	58	58	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.30	10	-6	16	18.9	15.4	3.44	16.2	17.2	-0.96
Steven Smith	67	67	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.43	2	2	0	18.1	16.6	1.44	16.2	17.7	-1.53
Rasheed Wallace	73	76	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.31	0	4	-4	17.8	17.8	-0.02	16.7	14.9	1.78
Detlef Schrempf	31	29	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	2	0	16.9	18.3	-1.47	16.2	16.7	-0.48
Bonzi Wells	7	7	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	9	-14	16.1	17.9	-1.81	24.4	15.8	8.66
Greg Anthony	17	17	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.04	-8	12	-20	19.8	17.3	2.47	18.6	16.0	2.63
Brian Grant	30	29	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.00	-7	11	-18	17.1	18.2	-1.03	17.5	15.9	1.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.71,0.65,0.74,0.78,0.68,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.93,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 105, CHI 111	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.72,0.73,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.81,0.85,0.97,1,1	94.0%
SAC 96, ORL 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.85,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.69,0.94,0.98,0.93,0.85,0.96,1,1	93.0%
PHX 104, IND 117	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.72,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.78,0.76,0.85,1,1,1	92.9%