NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	104		Excitement	6.2 [539]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +18.0%
Indiana Pacers	117		Comeback	3.3 [467]		LVP	Antonio Davis (IND): -17.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Johnson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.02	-0.02	19	68%	0.18	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Danny Manning	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.02	-0.01	9	64%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Tony Dumas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Kleine	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	-0.02	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	7	65%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Rex Chapman	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.03	0.01	13	43%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	6	36%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Steve Nash	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	0.04	3	70%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.00
Mark Bryant	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	9	36%	-0.14	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.07

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.23	0.01	0.06	19	79%	0.20	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	8	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duane Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	9	65%	0.05	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.02
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	64%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	3	75%	0.02	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.01
Vincent Askew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	6	62%	-0.01	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	7	31%	-0.04	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.05	0.01	5	57%	0.03	6	-0.20	4	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	27.3	16.4	24.4	1.7	42.0	139.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +17.5%

IND +37.5%

IND +13.6%

PHX -17.1%

PHX -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	IND	NBA	PHX	IND	NBA
this game	15.9	14.2	15.6	109.5	120.6	104.4
season	14.6	15.3		106.8	103.6
opponent	16.3	15.6		101.9	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.7	19.0	16.5	13.9	15.9
IND	15.3	15.3	14.8	11.9	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	26	26	0.05	-0.54	0.59	0.02	1	-14	15	14.8	16.2	-1.44	14.6	14.0	0.62
Wesley Person	50	49	-0.02	-0.47	0.45	0.09	-4	-9	5	13.6	18.3	-4.67	14.6	13.8	0.78
Tony Dumas	9	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-13	13	11.8	16.3	-4.50	8.4	14.7	-6.31
Joe Kleine	22	22	-0.09	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-8	3	18.0	15.2	2.74	16.8	13.4	3.37
Hot Rod Williams	54	56	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-12	11	16.1	15.6	0.47	14.5	13.8	0.71
Mark Bryant	53	55	-0.30	-0.19	-0.11	-0.30	0	-13	13	16.5	15.0	1.44	15.1	12.9	2.26
Danny Manning	60	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	1	-15	16.2	15.3	0.90	14.2	14.1	0.17
Robert Horry	61	61	-0.49	-0.00	-0.49	-0.11	-13	0	-13	17.2	13.5	3.71	14.5	13.5	1.01
Kevin Johnson	76	78	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.14	-14	1	-15	15.6	16.8	-1.17	13.3	17.7	-4.44
Rex Chapman	64	67	-0.56	0.07	-0.63	-0.12	-15	2	-17	15.9	15.8	0.02	13.2	16.4	-3.19

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	72	73	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.07	15	-2	17	14.1	14.4	-0.37	16.6	13.4	3.18
Erick Dampier	53	52	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.20	9	4	5	14.5	13.8	0.72	16.8	14.7	2.15
Derrick McKey	56	56	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.21	6	7	-1	13.9	14.6	-0.69	16.0	15.6	0.36
Dale Davis	54	54	0.33	0.16	0.17	0.16	6	7	-1	15.5	12.5	3.01	17.4	13.9	3.47
Travis Best	50	49	0.30	0.19	0.11	0.12	6	7	-1	15.2	13.1	2.05	16.4	15.3	1.11
Jerome Allen	38	35	0.22	0.27	-0.05	0.02	7	6	1	12.9	15.0	-2.09	14.8	16.5	-1.67
Vincent Askew	46	44	0.18	0.31	-0.13	-0.11	10	3	7	14.3	14.1	0.18	15.1	16.5	-1.46
Antonio Davis	52	48	0.06	0.43	-0.37	0.09	-1	14	-15	13.1	15.4	-2.39	13.9	17.9	-3.96
Duane Ferrell	22	20	0.04	0.45	-0.41	-0.02	2	11	-9	13.8	14.3	-0.51	18.6	15.1	3.48
Eddie Johnson	11	11	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	13	-13	17.6	13.7	3.92	15.2	15.9	-0.76
Fred Hoiberg	4	5	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.16	6	7	-1	8.0	14.4	-6.43	10.4	16.2	-5.76
Jalen Rose	27	28	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	14	-15	13.4	14.4	-1.00	13.2	17.0	-3.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.72,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.78,0.76,0.85,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 82, POR 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.71,0.65,0.74,0.78,0.68,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.93,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.91,1	92.9%
CLE 105, CHI 111	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.72,0.73,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.81,0.85,0.97,1,1	92.4%
LAC 89, BOS 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.95,0.98,1,1	92.3%