NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	105		Excitement	6.6 [535]		MVP	Taj Gibson (CHI): +19.2%
Chicago Bulls	111		Comeback	2.3 [417]		LVP	Nikola Mirotic (CHI): -14.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.04	0.00	6	92%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	1	150%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	5	79%	0.09	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.06
Iman Shumpert	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	75%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	14	48%	0.07	3	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
JR Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	21	44%	-0.01	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
LeBron James	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.06	-0.02	22	61%	0.14	8	-0.22	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taj Gibson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.17	0.03	0.01	13	79%	0.22	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.02	12	62%	0.15	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Canaan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	8	56%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.03	23	50%	0.11	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	20	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	12	83%	0.02
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Denzel Valentine	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.15	-0.01	-0.02	9	11%	-0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	3.4	29.4	16.4	24.4	3.5	30.3	130.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE -17.9%

CHI +12.2%

CHI +33.2%

CHI +21.9%

CHI +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHI	NBA	CLE	CHI	NBA
this game	14.3	14.6	14.8	106.1	111.0	107.7
season	14.9	15.1		113.5	105.9
opponent	14.8	14.7		105.9	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	12.2	15.2	17.5	12.9	14.3
CHI	13.5	12.5	15.2	17.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Iman Shumpert	40	39	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-9	12	14.3	14.3	-0.04	15.9	13.8	2.05
Richard Jefferson	32	33	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-6	6	13.5	14.7	-1.17	15.0	14.4	0.57
Channing Frye	43	43	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.23	5	-11	16	13.8	14.7	-0.94	15.7	13.8	1.97
Tristan Thompson	56	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	5	-16	14.7	13.8	0.94	13.8	15.7	-1.97
LeBron James	90	91	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.38	-2	-4	2	14.6	11.4	3.17	15.0	10.8	4.22
Kyrie Irving	78	78	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.32	-5	-1	-4	14.6	13.2	1.38	14.8	14.1	0.62
JR Smith	70	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.16	-11	5	-16	14.1	15.0	-0.91	13.2	18.3	-5.09
Kevin Love	86	87	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.30	-9	3	-12	14.3	14.6	-0.34	14.6	14.9	-0.35

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmy Butler	86	85	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.35	9	-3	12	14.6	14.7	-0.11	14.7	12.2	2.46
Rajon Rondo	77	75	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.24	8	-2	10	14.8	13.9	0.92	14.0	15.4	-1.39
Taj Gibson	84	82	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.30	6	0	6	14.8	13.7	1.04	14.4	14.2	0.18
Robin Lopez	53	55	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.09	9	-3	12	14.2	15.1	-1.00	14.9	13.6	1.24
Dwyane Wade	76	76	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.23	0	6	-6	14.8	14.0	0.82	14.1	15.2	-1.11
Nikola Mirotic	46	43	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.27	-2	8	-10	15.0	14.3	0.66	13.5	15.0	-1.52
Denzel Valentine	9	8	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	3	0	9.8	15.1	-5.32	15.9	14.2	1.69
Isaiah Canaan	57	57	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.13	-1	7	-8	14.9	14.3	0.56	14.7	13.8	0.97
Jerian Grant	12	14	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	8	-10	14.2	14.7	-0.52	13.1	14.5	-1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.72,0.73,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.81,0.85,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 82, POR 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.71,0.65,0.74,0.78,0.68,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.93,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.91,1	94.0%
UTA 92, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.75,0.66,0.71,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.71,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.9%
LAC 89, BOS 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.95,0.98,1,1	93.9%