NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	96		Excitement	6.3 [332]		MVP	Nick Anderson (ORL): +27.3%
Orlando Magic	107		Comeback	3.6 [399]		LVP	Jason Williams (SAC): -22.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lawrence Funderburke	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.02	0.02	7	100%	0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	86%	0.19	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.05	7	37%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.02
Vlade Divac	0.01	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	79%	0.07	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Chris Webber	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	20	55%	0.09	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.03	-0.09	0.01	15	55%	-0.01	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	12	27%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Williams	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.10	-0.12	0.00	9	35%	-0.13	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.03

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.24	0.08	0.05	18	83%	0.29	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	10	57%	0.12	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	21	52%	0.07	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	14	53%	0.04	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	7	45%	-0.05	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Ike Austin	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.02	5	50%	-0.02	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	5	33%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.3	2.7	23.3	15.6	24.5	1.8	33.2	120.4
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +12.7%

ORL +4.6%

ORL +15.6%

ORL +15.1%

ORL +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	ORL	NBA	SAC	ORL	NBA
this game	13.6	15.5	15.8	97.0	108.1	99.6
season	14.1	16.1		100.1	98.0
opponent	15.6	15.5		95.7	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	11.3	14.9	14.1	14.3	13.6
ORL	13.9	14.5	15.9	18.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Barry	47	47	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.21	6	-17	23	12.5	14.5	-2.03	17.0	14.2	2.83
Vernon Maxwell	50	50	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-9	7	14.1	13.0	1.14	16.8	14.2	2.56
Vlade Divac	53	54	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	-4	-3	13.4	13.8	-0.35	14.2	17.1	-2.84
Lawrence Funderburke	54	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.03	-11	0	-11	14.0	13.1	0.93	16.4	14.5	1.98
Corliss Williamson	64	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.21	-5	-6	1	13.6	13.5	0.10	14.6	17.2	-2.61
Chris Webber	91	91	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-7	3	13.4	15.4	-1.96	15.7	12.9	2.87
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	49	50	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.03	-17	6	-23	14.1	13.1	1.00	14.3	16.8	-2.46
Jason Williams	87	86	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.09	-15	4	-19	13.5	14.0	-0.48	15.4	16.5	-1.18

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Anderson	76	76	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.08	20	-9	29	15.8	14.7	1.12	14.4	10.9	3.47
Horace Grant	81	80	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.21	9	2	7	16.1	12.9	3.14	13.9	12.0	1.95
Anfernee Hardaway	81	80	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.27	5	6	-1	15.5	15.4	0.09	12.6	17.5	-4.89
Darrell Armstrong	61	62	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.06	10	1	9	15.9	14.9	0.92	13.4	13.9	-0.50
Bo Outlaw	62	62	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	10	-9	15.8	15.1	0.65	13.1	14.4	-1.37
Derek Strong	38	38	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.10	12	-1	13	14.9	15.9	-0.92	14.3	13.1	1.20
Ike Austin	44	44	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	11	-11	14.7	16.1	-1.42	13.2	13.8	-0.59
Matt Harpring	32	32	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.06	4	7	-3	14.9	15.8	-0.85	14.7	13.0	1.69
Michael Doleac	20	21	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.00	-6	17	-23	14.0	15.9	-1.84	12.5	13.9	-1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.85,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.69,0.94,0.98,0.93,0.85,0.96,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 82, SAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.64,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.84,0.75,0.78,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.98,1,1,1	93.9%
LAC 89, BOS 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.95,0.98,1,1	93.2%
MIN 82, POR 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.71,0.65,0.74,0.78,0.68,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.93,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.91,1	93.0%