NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	82		Excitement	6.0 [591]		MVP	Bobby Jackson (SAC): +9.8%
Sacramento Kings	96		Comeback	2.5 [665]		LVP	Pat Garrity (ORL): -16.5%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monty Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	10	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.03	0.01	17	57%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Don Reid	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Troy Hudson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	18	55%	0.07	5	-0.13	4	100%	0.02
Bo Outlaw	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	4	70%	0.03	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Miller	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	3	12%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Michael Doleac	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	13	43%	-0.07	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
John Amaechi	-0.16	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.03	-0.03	10	10%	-0.13	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.07	0.02	6	25%	-0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	-0.01	7	71%	0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.13	0.00	0.05	11	92%	0.15	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	57%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.00	-0.03	-0.02	-0.05	19	59%	0.09	5	-0.08	8	87%	0.01
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	3	87%	0.09	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	16	57%	0.12	6	-0.17	5	100%	0.02
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	4	10%	-0.10	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.14	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.6	28.5	19.3	26.5	2.6	29.2	134.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +53.4%

SAC +4.0%

ORL -7.7%

ORL -1.9%

SAC +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	SAC	NBA	ORL	SAC	NBA
this game	15.0	15.3	15.5	87.2	100.0	100.9
season	14.6	14.4		101.6	103.1
opponent	15.5	15.8		97.8	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.7	16.5	14.5	13.1	15.0
SAC	13.7	13.6	16.1	18.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Hudson	12	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-11	8	11.7	15.5	-3.78	17.1	15.1	1.99
Michael Doleac	57	58	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-13	12	14.2	16.2	-1.97	16.2	14.1	2.05
Tracy McGrady	61	63	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.17	1	-15	16	15.6	13.8	1.73	15.5	15.1	0.39
Pat Garrity	53	52	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-14	14	14.3	15.8	-1.53	17.0	13.4	3.53
Don Reid	15	16	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	-6	-2	15.4	14.9	0.51	15.1	15.4	-0.26
Mike Miller	43	43	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.13	-13	-1	-12	15.1	14.9	0.23	13.4	16.9	-3.49
Bo Outlaw	66	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	-5	-4	14.6	15.9	-1.32	15.2	15.8	-0.62
Monty Williams	40	41	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.10	-9	-5	-4	15.8	14.4	1.40	16.2	14.7	1.57
John Amaechi	41	43	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.13	-17	3	-20	15.6	14.5	1.05	13.5	16.8	-3.28
Darrell Armstrong	82	84	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	-3	-8	15.5	11.7	3.78	15.1	17.1	-1.99

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scot Pollard	67	65	0.72	-0.22	0.94	-0.07	27	-13	40	14.8	16.6	-1.83	15.7	13.2	2.50
Peja Stojakovic	89	86	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.14	12	2	10	15.1	18.0	-2.87	14.4	20.7	-6.32
Doug Christie	72	71	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.17	8	6	2	14.6	17.7	-3.15	15.2	14.1	1.11
Vlade Divac	77	77	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.17	5	9	-4	16.1	12.2	3.97	14.1	18.7	-4.56
Jon Barry	36	34	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.18	17	-3	20	14.8	15.7	-0.86	15.1	14.9	0.19
Jason Williams	61	59	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.09	7	7	0	13.8	18.1	-4.27	15.5	14.1	1.36
Bobby Jackson	35	35	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.00	7	7	0	18.1	13.8	4.27	14.1	15.5	-1.36
Nick Anderson	7	8	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.05	2	12	-10	18.0	15.1	2.87	20.7	14.4	6.32
Hedo Turkoglu	7	6	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	16	-18	17.6	15.2	2.40	21.7	14.5	7.16
Lawrence Funderburke	29	29	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.16	-13	27	-40	16.6	14.8	1.83	13.2	15.7	-2.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.64,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.84,0.75,0.78,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 89, PHX 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1	94.1%
SAC 96, ORL 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.85,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.69,0.94,0.98,0.93,0.85,0.96,1,1	93.9%
LAC 89, BOS 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.95,0.98,1,1	93.8%