NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	89		Excitement	6.3 [535]		MVP	Shannon Brown (PHX): +6.6%
Phoenix Suns	92		Comeback	3.0 [599]		LVP	Greg Monroe (DET): -21.8%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	15	51%	0.07	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	10	52%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	2	125%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	56%	0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.05
Will Bynum	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	9	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jason Maxiell	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.04	0.03	12	59%	0.03	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Brandon Knight	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	12	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Kim English	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.04	-0.00	7	7%	-0.12	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Greg Monroe	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.22	-0.13	-0.08	0.01	17	28%	-0.18	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	14	48%	0.09	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	10	58%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	13	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	12	52%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	18	42%	0.00	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.01	-0.01	12	25%	-0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	1.8	27.3	15.5	23.4	2.4	38.5	138.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +28.2%

DET -0.7%

PHX +23.7%

DET -5.8%

PHX +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHX	NBA	DET	PHX	NBA
this game	15.6	15.5	15.4	96.7	98.9	104.1
season	15.7	15.2		102.3	99.7
opponent	15.1	15.5		106.3	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.2	16.0	16.3	13.8	15.6
PHX	14.5	13.3	15.7	18.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Jerebko	32	32	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.16	7	-10	17	14.8	16.1	-1.29	15.7	15.4	0.21
Will Bynum	35	31	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-6	9	15.2	15.9	-0.72	15.5	15.5	-0.00
Andre Drummond	33	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-6	9	15.6	15.6	-0.02	17.5	14.3	3.20
Rodney Stuckey	44	43	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	4	-11	16.7	14.6	2.12	14.3	16.6	-2.30
Kim English	31	30	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-1	-1	14.3	16.3	-2.00	15.8	15.4	0.47
Kyle Singler	46	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.38	3	-6	9	14.8	16.5	-1.72	16.0	15.0	0.96
Tayshaun Prince	63	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.34	0	-3	3	16.1	14.5	1.61	15.8	14.7	1.10
Greg Monroe	59	58	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.23	-6	3	-9	15.6	15.6	0.02	14.3	17.5	-3.20
Brandon Knight	58	62	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.28	-7	4	-11	15.7	15.5	0.14	15.5	15.5	0.00
Jason Maxiell	59	61	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.29	-9	6	-15	16.3	14.4	1.86	15.4	15.7	-0.21

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luis Scola	55	54	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.10	16	-13	29	15.6	15.4	0.12	16.4	14.5	1.95
Goran Dragic	66	65	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.34	4	-1	5	15.7	15.1	0.52	15.8	15.1	0.67
Marcin Gortat	70	68	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.36	3	0	3	15.3	16.2	-0.87	15.6	15.6	0.05
Jared Dudley	49	49	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	-8	19	14.8	16.3	-1.44	16.0	15.2	0.81
Michael Beasley	53	52	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.16	7	-4	11	16.2	14.7	1.48	16.6	14.4	2.16
Shannon Brown	49	47	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.34	-5	8	-13	16.2	14.8	1.41	14.9	16.4	-1.57
PJ Tucker	18	18	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.24	-4	7	-11	16.9	15.2	1.70	14.1	16.0	-1.88
Sebastian Telfair	28	28	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	3	-3	14.6	15.9	-1.30	14.7	16.0	-1.30
Jermaine O'Neal	23	24	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.10	-1	4	-5	16.2	15.3	0.87	15.6	15.6	-0.05
Wesley Johnson	17	18	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	6	-9	12.1	16.3	-4.16	15.4	15.7	-0.29
Markieff Morris	37	37	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.27	-13	16	-29	15.9	15.3	0.58	14.8	16.2	-1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 96, IND 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.98,1,1,1	94.5%
NYK 85, CHA 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1	94.1%
ORL 82, SAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.64,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.84,0.75,0.78,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.98,1,1,1	94.1%