NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	85		Excitement	7.7 [262]		MVP	Hakeem Olajuwon (HOU): +8.3%
Houston Rockets	89		Comeback	1.5 [602]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -25.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Ostertag	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.02	0.12	-0.10	-0.01	10	86%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.04
Antoine Carr	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	10	36%	-0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	0.03
Howard Eisley	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	11	43%	-0.03	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
John Stockton	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	0.00	14	47%	-0.07	5	-0.12	4	75%	0.08
Karl Malone	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25	-0.14	-0.11	0.00	16	46%	-0.13	5	-0.13	9	78%	-0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.09	-0.01	26	47%	0.08	0	0.00	8	100%	0.12
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	5	70%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clyde Drexler	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.01	18	55%	0.10	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.07
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	6	54%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.03
Charles Barkley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	5	53%	-0.04	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.04
Brent Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	22%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.5	25.2	18.4	27.0	2.0	40.2	142.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +39.8%

HOU +2.0%

HOU +0.8%

HOU +12.2%

UTA -4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	HOU	NBA	UTA	HOU	NBA
this game	16.9	15.7	15.6	96.6	100.0	102.5
season	15.9	15.7		108.1	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.9		105.7	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.8	16.6	17.3	16.7	16.9
HOU	15.1	16.9	14.8	16.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Howard Eisley	37	39	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.25	9	-13	22	16.2	17.4	-1.21	15.6	15.7	-0.08
Greg Ostertag	70	70	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.38	13	-17	30	16.8	17.2	-0.38	15.5	16.3	-0.80
Antoine Carr	20	21	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.04	-1	-3	2	17.1	16.8	0.37	17.7	15.1	2.59
Shandon Anderson	31	32	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-5	6	16.5	17.1	-0.54	17.0	14.9	2.05
Greg Foster	5	5	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.07	-8	4	-12	23.8	16.4	7.35	16.2	15.7	0.55
Adam Keefe	16	16	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.02	-8	4	-12	19.0	16.4	2.61	15.1	15.8	-0.68
Bryon Russell	72	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.40	4	-8	12	16.4	19.0	-2.61	15.8	15.1	0.68
Jeff Hornacek	57	57	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.26	-5	1	-6	17.1	16.5	0.54	14.9	17.0	-2.05
John Stockton	52	52	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.20	-14	10	-24	17.1	16.6	0.47	15.2	16.3	-1.05
Karl Malone	80	80	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.36	-11	7	-18	16.6	19.2	-2.62	15.6	16.6	-0.97

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clyde Drexler	77	76	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.30	9	-5	14	15.2	18.5	-3.25	16.6	18.5	-1.89
Kevin Willis	53	53	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.02	18	-14	32	15.2	16.5	-1.32	17.7	15.6	2.05
Matt Bullard	28	29	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.06	16	-12	28	14.2	16.3	-2.09	18.1	16.2	1.90
Matt Maloney	63	62	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.23	6	-2	8	15.3	16.7	-1.37	16.9	16.7	0.19
Hakeem Olajuwon	80	78	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.44	-2	6	-8	15.3	18.8	-3.44	16.4	20.5	-4.10
Charles Barkley	45	45	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.35	-8	12	-20	16.9	14.4	2.52	16.7	17.0	-0.31
Brent Price	26	26	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.15	-2	6	-8	16.7	15.3	1.37	16.7	16.9	-0.19
Mario Elie	61	59	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.44	-12	16	-28	16.3	14.2	2.09	16.2	18.1	-1.90
Eddie Johnson	12	12	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	9	-14	18.5	15.2	3.25	18.5	16.6	1.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.92,0.84,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.72,0.57,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 91, DAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.73,0.7,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.89,0.9,0.58,1	92.0%
UTA 103, CLE 107	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.83,0.69,0.79,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.88,0.83,0.89,0.84,0.55,0.72,1	91.6%
BOS 82, ORL 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.73,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.83,0.91,0.87,0.87,0.79,0.81,0.7,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.58,1	91.3%