NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	82		Excitement	7.1 [396]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (ORL): +22.4%
Orlando Magic	84		Comeback	1.0 [955]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -41.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	14	53%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	7	73%	0.11	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	53%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Henry Walker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	5	43%	-0.02	1	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Stephon Marbury	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	11	39%	-0.04	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.42	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0,-0.07,0.01,-0.42	-0.03	-0.41	-0.02	23	50%	-0.28	4	-0.14	6	83%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.14	0.09	-0.00	10	84%	0.28	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.04
Dwight Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.03	0.00	18	60%	0.09	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	8	31%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	4	40%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.06	-0.01	11	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	10	30%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.33	-0.33	-0.16	-0.17	0.00	18	31%	-0.24	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.9	0.3	30.0	18.8	26.0	3.5	36.2	143.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +5.7%

ORL +7.9%

ORL +14.7%

ORL +21.2%

ORL +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ORL	NBA	BOS	ORL	NBA
this game	16.1	16.1	15.5	92.1	93.3	106.4
season	15.8	15.3		108.3	107.3
opponent	15.8	15.6		101.4	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.8	15.4	15.6	16.4	16.1
ORL	12.7	16.6	18.7	17.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Henry Walker	6	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	2	-6	17.3	16.0	1.37	12.6	16.4	-3.85
Stephon Marbury	12	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	2	-6	15.4	16.2	-0.74	19.2	15.7	3.51
Kendrick Perkins	65	64	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-6	10	16.2	15.7	0.53	16.1	16.2	-0.10
Glen Davis	62	62	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.49	10	-12	22	15.8	16.7	-0.93	16.4	15.5	0.85
Eddie House	32	33	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.22	0	-2	2	16.3	15.9	0.45	16.4	15.9	0.48
Mikki Moore	20	21	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	6	-14	16.4	16.0	0.44	17.1	15.8	1.33
Kevin Garnett	31	32	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	8	-18	16.1	16.0	0.06	15.5	16.5	-0.97
Rajon Rondo	72	73	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-4	6	16.0	16.2	-0.15	15.3	19.5	-4.13
Paul Pierce	82	83	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.47	2	-4	6	15.9	18.1	-2.26	16.4	12.6	3.85
Ray Allen	63	63	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.40	-2	0	-2	16.2	15.8	0.41	16.0	16.3	-0.30

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Courtney Lee	66	65	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.33	11	-9	20	15.9	16.7	-0.74	16.1	15.8	0.31
Hedo Turkoglu	63	62	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.35	7	-5	12	15.9	16.7	-0.88	16.2	15.8	0.40
Rashard Lewis	72	72	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.36	6	-4	10	16.7	13.8	2.86	15.8	16.9	-1.09
Rafer Alston	52	52	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.37	3	-1	4	16.2	16.1	0.07	15.9	16.2	-0.32
Dwight Howard	72	71	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.43	0	2	-2	15.7	17.9	-2.28	16.1	16.0	0.07
Marcin Gortat	18	18	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.01	2	0	2	17.9	15.7	2.28	16.0	16.1	-0.07
Anthony Johnson	38	37	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.07	-1	3	-4	16.1	16.2	-0.07	16.2	15.9	0.32
Tony Battie	26	25	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.08	-5	7	-12	15.0	16.6	-1.58	16.9	15.7	1.15
JJ Redick	3	4	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	6	-10	16.0	16.1	-0.13	10.5	16.3	-5.82
Mickael Pietrus	40	39	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.15	-9	11	-20	16.6	15.8	0.81	16.2	16.0	0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.73,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.83,0.91,0.87,0.87,0.79,0.81,0.7,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 79, MIL 80	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.81,0.87,0.8,0.86,0.97,0.85,0.84,0.73,1	93.7%
MIA 77, ORL 80	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.7,0.82,0.68,0.79,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.72,1	93.4%
MIA 71, NOH 77	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.78,0.83,0.7,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.84,1	93.0%