NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	103		Excitement	8.3 [190]		MVP	Anthony Parker (CLE): +43.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers	107		Comeback	2.5 [709]		LVP	Daniel Gibson (CLE): -13.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.24,0.24	0.11	0.13	-0.00	16	64%	0.30	2	-0.07	7	100%	0.08
Eric Maynor	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.08,-0.11,0.1	0.07	0.04	0.00	16	62%	0.20	3	-0.10	7	86%	0.05
Mehmet Okur	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.03	0.01	11	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	7	69%	0.06	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Wesley Matthews	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	9	72%	0.09	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	10	50%	-0.06	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.44,0.44	0.44	0.15	0.28	-0.00	7	100%	0.44	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,0.34	0.34	0.02	0.33	0.01	15	50%	0.39	2	-0.05	12	75%	-0.02
JJ Hickson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.08	-0.01	13	61%	0.22	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.04	0.01	6	92%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.02	-0.02	10	45%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	70%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.08
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.02	-0.09	0.01	18	55%	0.01	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	4	37%	-0.03	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.7	2.6	29.3	15.5	26.2	1.8	40.2	136.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +57.5%

CLE +3.7%

UTA -35.0%

CLE +21.3%

CLE +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CLE	NBA	UTA	CLE	NBA
this game	15.3	15.5	15.3	109.6	115.1	106.0
season	15.3	16.1		109.5	109.5
opponent	15.0	15.0		103.3	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.4	14.0	15.2	14.7	15.3
CLE	15.3	17.9	14.8	14.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	53	53	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.14	7	-11	18	14.7	16.1	-1.36	16.4	14.3	2.01
Kyrylo Fesenko	8	8	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-7	10	13.2	15.5	-2.25	18.5	15.2	3.29
Andrei Kirilenko	62	62	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.36	2	-6	8	14.5	16.8	-2.23	15.4	15.7	-0.37
Carlos Boozer	78	76	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-3	2	14.7	18.4	-3.77	15.6	15.1	0.53
Ronnie Brewer	64	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.14	-7	3	-10	15.5	14.8	0.75	16.1	14.3	1.75
Wesley Matthews	70	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.24	-7	3	-10	15.5	14.8	0.69	14.7	17.5	-2.84
Eric Maynor	78	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.39	-3	-1	-2	15.8	13.1	2.71	15.4	16.2	-0.86
Mehmet Okur	57	58	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.29	-14	10	-24	16.7	13.1	3.63	14.7	16.7	-2.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Hickson	75	76	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.23	12	-8	20	15.0	17.5	-2.49	15.5	14.3	1.21
Anthony Parker	68	68	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.20	8	-4	12	15.5	15.6	-0.14	15.2	15.5	-0.21
LeBron James	74	75	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.26	6	-2	8	15.1	16.8	-1.69	15.1	16.3	-1.20
Anderson Varejao	57	58	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.52	-7	11	-18	15.9	14.8	1.12	14.3	17.0	-2.74
Jamario Moon	33	35	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.31	0	4	-4	15.0	15.8	-0.81	13.8	16.2	-2.45
Mo Williams	63	63	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.17	4	0	4	15.8	14.8	1.03	16.4	13.0	3.40
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	54	54	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	1	2	15.7	15.2	0.50	16.1	14.2	1.89
Daniel Gibson	41	41	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.22	-6	10	-16	16.1	15.0	1.08	15.4	15.2	0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.83,0.69,0.79,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.88,0.83,0.89,0.84,0.55,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 98, CHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.69,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.83,0.93,0.9,0.78,0.85,1	93.1%
IND 95, CHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.85,0.88,0.82,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.71,0.55,0.85,1	92.4%
MIA 93, NOH 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.85,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.81,0.54,0.67,0.58,1	92.2%