NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	91		Excitement	7.9 [274]		MVP	DeSagana Diop (DAL): +7.2%
Dallas Mavericks	93		Comeback	1.1 [1164]		LVP	Sam Cassell (LAC): -31.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	9	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Cuttino Mobley	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	13	64%	0.14	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Ewing	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Singleton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	9	62%	0.06	4	-0.12	6	50%	-0.02
Shaun Livingston	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	3	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Elton Brand	-0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.26	-0.05	-0.21	-0.00	20	45%	-0.16	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Sam Cassell	-0.31	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.31	-0.06	-0.24	0.01	18	47%	-0.19	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	7	60%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.04
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	1	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	10	41%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	-0.00	9	59%	-0.01	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Josh Howard	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,-0.11	-0.11	0.09	-0.16	0.04	11	72%	0.02	3	-0.13	10	50%	-0.18
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	18	44%	-0.10	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22	-0.22	-0.13	-0.06	0.03	9	25%	-0.14	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.5	28.4	16.4	27.6	2.6	35.1	137.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -4.7%

LAC -3.0%

DAL +51.2%

DAL +9.6%

LAC -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DAL	NBA	LAC	DAL	NBA
this game	13.6	15.9	15.6	93.8	94.9	104.4
season	15.2	16.4		103.9	109.0
opponent	15.6	15.5		102.9	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.9	13.5	12.4	13.9	13.6
DAL	15.1	19.2	14.3	15.5	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Ewing	26	24	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.04	4	-6	10	13.7	13.6	0.15	16.5	15.7	0.78
Zeljko Rebraca	29	23	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-4	6	11.7	14.4	-2.70	14.7	16.3	-1.58
James Singleton	8	9	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-3	4	17.5	13.3	4.23	16.7	15.8	0.84
Shaun Livingston	49	47	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.31	9	-11	20	12.7	14.6	-1.87	16.1	15.7	0.38
Cuttino Mobley	82	82	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.35	1	-3	4	13.6	13.5	0.18	15.0	20.5	-5.49
Chris Kaman	83	82	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-1	0	13.5	14.2	-0.70	15.9	15.7	0.19
Elton Brand	72	78	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.41	-4	2	-6	14.1	12.1	2.02	16.2	14.9	1.27
Vladimir Radmanovic	74	77	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.37	-8	6	-14	13.5	14.0	-0.44	16.2	14.9	1.28
Sam Cassell	62	68	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.32	-14	12	-26	14.3	12.4	1.91	16.3	15.0	1.31

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Howard	76	71	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.35	8	-6	14	15.9	15.9	-0.00	14.2	12.2	2.00
Dirk Nowitzki	76	74	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.46	4	-2	6	15.4	17.7	-2.29	13.5	13.9	-0.39
Jerry Stackhouse	46	45	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.59	-3	5	-8	15.6	16.2	-0.61	12.9	14.3	-1.40
DeSagana Diop	54	48	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.26	7	-5	12	15.7	16.2	-0.46	13.6	13.6	0.01
Adrian Griffin	54	53	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.20	6	-4	10	15.6	16.2	-0.62	14.0	13.1	0.88
Jason Terry	70	70	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	-4	10	15.9	15.9	-0.03	14.2	12.1	2.14
Erick Dampier	44	49	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.18	-5	7	-12	16.2	15.7	0.46	13.6	13.6	-0.01
Keith Van Horn	28	30	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	4	-6	16.0	15.9	0.18	13.0	13.9	-0.90
Devin Harris	23	22	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	5	-8	18.2	15.2	2.96	13.0	13.8	-0.80
Marquis Daniels	19	23	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.08	-8	10	-18	16.6	15.7	0.90	12.4	14.0	-1.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.73,0.7,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.89,0.9,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 77, ORL 80	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.7,0.82,0.68,0.79,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.72,1	93.4%
GSW 108, BKN 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.65,0.78,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.93,0.85,0.58,1	93.1%
DEN 87, LAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.89,0.58,1	92.6%