NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	87		Excitement	6.5 [524]		MVP	Andre Miller (DEN): +20.6%
Los Angeles Clippers	89		Comeback	1.1 [1133]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (DEN): -51.9%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.21,0.21	0.10	0.13	0.03	21	56%	0.21	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ruben Patterson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	44%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Greg Buckner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	8	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kenyon Martin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	11	37%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Camby	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	12	33%	-0.08	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Carmelo Anthony	-0.52	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.52	-0.09	-0.40	0.03	26	41%	-0.46	2	-0.06	9	78%	-0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.07	0.02	11	66%	0.16	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.01	-0.00	10	77%	0.14	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.01	12	52%	0.11	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.04
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.07	0.00	3	62%	0.16	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.07
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	8	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	16	52%	0.06	4	-0.10	8	62%	-0.02
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	4	20%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.7	3.0	31.5	18.0	29.0	3.5	42.2	156.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +67.9%

LAC +22.6%

DEN -16.7%

DEN -26.7%

LAC +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	LAC	NBA	DEN	LAC	NBA
this game	17.5	16.3	15.6	101.2	106.0	104.4
season	14.4	15.2		103.5	103.9
opponent	15.5	15.9		102.1	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	15.9	16.9	19.9	18.0	17.5
LAC	13.5	17.4	17.9	17.1	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Buckner	36	34	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.09	4	-6	10	18.9	16.5	2.35	16.5	16.3	0.21
Reggie Evans	24	25	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.14	4	-6	10	17.8	17.4	0.37	17.2	16.0	1.22
Ruben Patterson	25	25	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-1	0	14.8	18.7	-3.90	16.1	16.4	-0.32
Kenyon Martin	52	49	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.36	8	-10	18	15.4	20.7	-5.26	16.9	15.5	1.42
Francisco Elson	27	28	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	5	-12	18.7	17.0	1.77	15.0	17.0	-2.02
Earl Boykins	56	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.49	3	-5	8	17.3	18.0	-0.68	16.7	15.6	1.16
Carmelo Anthony	79	76	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.40	-3	1	-4	17.7	15.6	2.12	16.0	19.9	-3.90
Andre Miller	62	62	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.34	-9	7	-16	17.8	16.7	1.13	16.5	16.0	0.47
Marcus Camby	69	66	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.38	-9	7	-16	18.5	13.5	5.05	16.2	17.1	-0.90

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cuttino Mobley	62	65	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.36	13	-11	24	16.4	16.2	0.22	18.9	13.3	5.61
Chris Kaman	73	75	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.40	7	-5	12	16.7	13.8	2.91	18.5	11.2	7.27
Sam Cassell	58	59	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.07	19	-17	36	15.5	18.2	-2.68	19.2	13.9	5.30
Elton Brand	73	73	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.43	0	2	-2	16.4	15.8	0.61	17.5	17.5	0.07
Quinton Ross	41	41	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.35	2	0	2	16.2	16.5	-0.25	20.0	15.3	4.69
Shaun Livingston	36	37	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.35	-8	10	-18	17.4	15.5	1.92	15.0	19.4	-4.38
Vladimir Radmanovic	28	29	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.18	-4	6	-10	15.2	16.9	-1.75	14.1	19.3	-5.16
Zeljko Rebraca	22	24	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	5	-8	14.8	16.9	-2.07	14.6	18.7	-4.08
Corey Maggette	27	27	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.16	-16	18	-34	17.9	15.6	2.33	14.0	19.2	-5.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.89,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 103, HOU 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.85,0.72,1	93.6%
MIA 77, ORL 80	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.7,0.82,0.68,0.79,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.72,1	93.1%
ATL 77, LAC 78	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.59,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.88,0.93,0.85,0.84,0.69,0.58,1	92.7%