NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	110		Excitement	6.0 [657]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +18.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	99		Comeback	8.3 [131]		LVP	Damian Lillard (POR): -26.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.01,-0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.08	0.07	-0.03	26	59%	0.29	5	-0.10	9	89%	0.03
Quinn Cook	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	0.00	4	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alfonzo McKinnie	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.09	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Bell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.01	0.04	12	61%	0.07	2	-0.03	9	89%	0.01
Kevon Looney	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.03	5	80%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damian Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.07	-0.04	0.04	20	44%	-0.02	4	-0.13	3	67%	-0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	-0.02	0.03	12	64%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	6	86%	0.13	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	6	43%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Maurice Harkless	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	43%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	7	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	6	42%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.02	20	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	12	58%	-0.11
Damian Lillard	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.25,-0.27,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.11	-0.10	0.06	18	43%	-0.16	5	-0.10	8	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.5	3.4	32.8	14.6	29.4	2.7	28.6	142.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +49.3%

GSW +7.4%

GSW +5.2%

POR -7.9%

POR -4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	POR	NBA	GSW	POR	NBA
this game	13.4	15.4	14.3	110.0	99.0	109.3
season	13.4	14.9		114.5	112.6
opponent	13.9	15.0		109.4	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.4	12.5	11.7	16.3	13.4
POR	14.3	14.1	18.3	15.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alfonzo McKinnie	43	43	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.01	24	-13	37	12.9	13.8	-0.94	16.0	14.9	1.01
Stephen Curry	79	80	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.02	19	-8	27	12.3	17.5	-5.19	15.3	15.8	-0.52
Kevon Looney	59	58	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.09	12	-1	13	13.5	13.3	0.26	14.4	16.7	-2.30
Draymond Green	82	82	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.04	16	-5	21	12.5	17.5	-4.98	15.3	15.8	-0.55
Shaun Livingston	34	32	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.21	4	7	-3	15.9	12.1	3.78	16.9	14.7	2.20
Jordan Bell	30	30	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.00	10	1	9	12.6	13.8	-1.12	18.1	14.2	3.93
Klay Thompson	83	84	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	12	-13	13.5	13.2	0.22	15.2	16.1	-0.81
Jonas Jerebko	16	16	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.18	-5	16	-21	19.1	12.3	6.79	15.9	15.3	0.66
Quinn Cook	21	20	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.20	-8	19	-27	17.5	12.3	5.19	15.8	15.3	0.52
Damian Jones	7	8	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	16	-21	12.1	13.5	-1.37	14.0	15.5	-1.50
Andrew Bogut	6	6	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.04	-6	17	-23	14.8	13.3	1.50	12.7	15.6	-2.89
Andre Iguodala	40	41	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.04	-5	16	-21	11.8	14.5	-2.70	13.9	16.4	-2.55

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Harkless	58	57	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.05	2	-13	15	13.7	17.7	-4.02	12.7	14.3	-1.59
Enes Kanter	15	15	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.11	7	-18	25	15.7	15.3	0.34	15.5	13.0	2.49
Al-Farouq Aminu	28	26	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.07	5	-16	21	14.8	15.6	-0.78	13.0	13.6	-0.52
Evan Turner	33	34	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.13	5	-16	21	14.9	15.6	-0.70	16.0	12.1	3.95
CJ McCollum	83	82	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.09	-6	-5	-1	14.8	18.4	-3.58	13.0	15.3	-2.27
Rodney Hood	32	34	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.03	-13	2	-15	17.6	14.3	3.30	14.4	12.9	1.50
Seth Curry	62	62	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.21	-7	-4	-3	15.4	15.4	-0.07	14.0	12.4	1.65
Zach Collins	39	40	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.22	-8	-3	-5	17.4	14.1	3.29	14.4	12.7	1.72
Meyers Leonard	66	66	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.02	-17	6	-23	15.8	14.6	1.16	12.2	15.7	-3.51
Damian Lillard	84	84	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.12	-23	12	-35	15.4	15.3	0.08	12.5	18.0	-5.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.78,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.63,0.52,0.56,0.38,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 107, CLE 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.25,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0	92.6%
MIN 97, WAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.56,0.5,0.34,0.34,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.03,0.07,0.04,0,0	92.5%
PHX 106, SAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.1,0.12,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	92.3%