NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	107		Excitement	6.2 [576]		MVP	Omri Casspi (SAC): +28.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers	104		Comeback	7.2 [115]		LVP	Antawn Jamison (CLE): -11.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Omri Casspi	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.28	0.20	0.10	0.01	10	91%	0.28	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Carl Landry	0.24	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24	0.13	0.12	0.00	11	74%	0.24	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Darnell Jackson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	1	100%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Luther Head	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.00	2	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.05	-0.02	20	43%	0.07	2	-0.04	9	78%	0.02
Beno Udrih	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	9	67%	0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	7	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Francisco Garcia	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	10	54%	0.05	5	-0.13	6	67%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jawad Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.03	0.01	6	81%	0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.03
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.02	13	70%	0.15	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.03	-0.00	16	61%	0.10	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Manny Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	47%	0.00	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	44%	-0.01	2	-0.03	6	33%	-0.06
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	11	48%	0.01	1	-0.05	9	78%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	9	60%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	7	14%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.5	27.4	16.3	27.6	2.7	37.2	135.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +47.8%

SAC +3.3%

SAC +7.1%

CLE -6.5%

CLE -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	CLE	NBA	SAC	CLE	NBA
this game	16.3	15.0	15.5	116.3	113.0	105.7
season	14.9	15.1		102.1	100.8
opponent	15.4	14.9		110.2	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.6	18.5	15.4	15.7	16.3
CLE	13.2	14.2	18.2	15.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omri Casspi	80	80	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.37	12	-9	21	16.1	17.4	-1.33	15.1	14.7	0.43
Tyreke Evans	79	79	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	1	1	16.8	12.8	4.07	14.6	17.5	-2.82
DeMarcus Cousins	53	51	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.48	0	3	-3	17.0	15.2	1.83	15.2	14.8	0.39
Beno Udrih	65	64	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.24	4	-1	5	16.4	16.0	0.32	14.2	17.0	-2.81
Carl Landry	61	64	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.26	1	2	-1	17.0	14.9	2.05	15.4	14.2	1.24
Darnell Jackson	12	10	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.01	7	-4	11	14.4	16.5	-2.12	18.0	14.7	3.32
Francisco Garcia	33	32	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	1	1	14.3	17.4	-3.05	17.4	13.8	3.62
Antoine Wright	0	1	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	4	-5	0.0	16.3	-16.26	2.0	15.2	-13.19
Samuel Dalembert	32	33	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.09	5	-2	7	15.0	16.9	-1.89	15.4	14.8	0.55
Jason Thompson	25	24	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.01	-3	6	-9	15.9	16.4	-0.47	13.0	15.8	-2.76
Luther Head	20	22	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.12	-13	16	-29	16.9	16.1	0.88	14.8	15.1	-0.36

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Hollins	26	27	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.09	6	-9	15	15.7	14.8	0.96	14.6	17.0	-2.41
Manny Harris	7	8	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.02	-1	-2	1	14.6	15.1	-0.51	9.5	16.9	-7.40
Antawn Jamison	35	36	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.09	-1	-2	1	14.5	15.4	-0.85	15.9	16.5	-0.66
Jamario Moon	59	58	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.21	1	-4	5	14.6	15.8	-1.11	17.9	13.5	4.33
Ramon Sessions	59	57	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.12	-4	1	-5	15.9	13.5	2.48	16.8	15.4	1.34
Daniel Gibson	60	61	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.47	5	-8	13	14.7	15.6	-0.84	15.9	17.1	-1.21
Jawad Williams	37	38	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.34	0	-3	3	14.8	15.2	-0.39	13.7	18.1	-4.39
JJ Hickson	53	52	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.20	-6	3	-9	16.0	13.7	2.26	16.6	15.8	0.86
Anthony Parker	58	58	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.22	-6	3	-9	14.5	16.0	-1.47	17.1	14.8	2.33
Anderson Varejao	66	65	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.33	-9	6	-15	14.8	15.7	-0.96	17.0	14.6	2.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.25,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 117, SAC 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.5,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.42,0.21,0.11,0.07,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.04,0	93.9%
ATL 93, CLE 79	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.63,0.63,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.28,0.23,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.02,0,0,0	92.7%
GSW 110, POR 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.78,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.63,0.52,0.56,0.38,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0	92.6%