inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 101 Excitement8.5 [240] MVPGary Harris (DEN): +20.5%
Denver Nuggets 96 Comeback1.5 [372] LVPJamal Murray (DEN): -42.0%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bryn Forbes0.190,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.130.080.02983%0.1900.0000%0.00
Davis Bertans0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.050.090.00271%0.1400.00367%-0.01
Patty Mills0.080,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.020.060.00367%0.0800.0000%0.00
Jakob Poeltl0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.030.03-0.02560%0.0800.0000%0.00
Rudy Gay0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.000.00978%0.153-0.1100%0.00
Lonnie Walker IV0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03-0.070.03-0.011936%-0.0300.00475%0.02
Marco Belinelli-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.030.00940%-0.0500.00250%-0.01
Derrick White-0.150,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.06,-0.150.03-0.170.011070%0.054-0.20367%-0.02
DeMar DeRozan-0.190,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19-0.10-0.090.001743%-0.044-0.15875%-0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gary Harris0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.19,0.22,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.140.080.011269%0.2100.005100%0.05
Torrey Craig0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.030.08-0.00460%0.1100.0020%-0.06
Malik Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.02-0.00567%0.112-0.06560%-0.04
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.01-0.00957%0.103-0.083100%0.02
Mason Plumlee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.01-0.00440%-0.0000.0020%-0.03
Will Barton0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01-0.001544%-0.0100.00450%-0.02
Monte Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.00617%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.24-0.24-0.04-0.190.02950%-0.023-0.232100%0.01
Jamal Murray0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.11,-0.08,-0.42-0.42-0.11-0.31-0.012435%-0.342-0.081100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.02.827.314.726.22.835.0137.8
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +52.1%
DEN -3.6%
DEN -5.3%
DEN -0.8%
SAS +7.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASDENNBASASDENNBA
this game16.114.714.3108.6102.1109.3
season14.814.8111.7112.0
opponent14.614.4108.1110.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS16.015.515.717.316.1
DEN14.015.815.014.014.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Patty Mills41400.58-0.080.660.387-2916.815.61.2014.015.2-1.22
Rudy Gay51540.460.040.410.1610-51515.117.3-2.2414.215.3-1.13
Davis Bertans36350.370.130.230.167-2917.915.02.9115.614.21.38
Derrick White55570.330.170.170.2723-115.417.1-1.6914.614.8-0.18
LaMarcus Aldridge66680.300.200.110.2423-116.116.00.1014.515.2-0.62
Marco Belinelli33340.290.210.080.068-31115.416.5-1.0615.014.50.51
DeMar DeRozan77770.250.25-0.010.33-38-1116.215.80.3614.714.60.07
Jakob Poeltl49470.110.39-0.280.14-16-715.716.5-0.8315.014.40.60
Lonnie Walker IV010.020.48-0.460.0205-50.016.1-16.117.014.8-7.78
Bryn Forbes5757-0.210.71-0.91-0.00-712-1916.715.21.4915.114.10.94

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamal Murray6869-0.10-0.400.29-0.255-101514.016.6-2.6415.617.5-1.93
Malik Beasley2929-0.11-0.390.270.00-4-1-314.314.9-0.6217.615.52.10
Torrey Craig2021-0.20-0.300.10-0.05-50-513.814.9-1.0818.115.52.57
Mason Plumlee3332-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.05-72-914.714.7-0.0517.115.61.55
Paul Millsap6767-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.26-1-4315.113.61.5015.617.3-1.72
Will Barton6464-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.300-5514.615.0-0.4415.218.1-2.90
Nikola Jokic7270-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.390-5514.814.30.5015.717.3-1.53
Monte Morris4442-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.09-116-1715.414.11.3317.315.12.15
Gary Harris7371-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.38-2-3115.013.71.2715.916.8-0.87


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.34,0.22,0.33,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 86, UTA 840.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.27,0.31,0.38,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.2,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.3,0.22,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.17,0.24,0.1,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.28,092.4%
ORL 99, DET 940.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.26,092.3%
SEA 86, LAC 830.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.07,0.1,0.23,0.26,091.9%