inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 99 Excitement6.5 [492] MVPTracy McGrady (ORL): +24.0%
Detroit Pistons 94 Comeback1.2 [413] LVPChauncey Billups (DET): -21.0%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tracy McGrady0.240,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.240.090.13-0.022863%0.334-0.091283%0.09
Steven Hunter0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00280%0.0300.0010%-0.02
Jacque Vaughn0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.03-0.00367%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Shawn Kemp0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.00650%0.0300.0000%0.00
Chris Whitney0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.010.00462%0.0200.0000%0.00
Andrew DeClercq0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.01-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Gordan Giricek0.000,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,00.01-0.000.01267%0.0000.002100%0.01
Darrell Armstrong-0.030,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.010.01945%-0.001-0.032100%0.01
Pat Burke-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.00333%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Drew Gooden-0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.011647%0.022-0.076100%0.04
Pat Garrity-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.020.00150%-0.012-0.052100%0.01

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chucky Atkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.12,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.040.06-0.00743%0.092-0.0600%0.00
Michael Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.011100%0.0100.001100%0.00
Clifford Robinson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01-0.001849%0.021-0.033100%0.02
Jon Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.00333%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Richard Hamilton0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.020.001761%0.074-0.0912100%0.06
Mehmet Okur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.00233%-0.021-0.0320%-0.03
Ben Wallace0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.01444%-0.0500.00887%0.03
Corliss Williamson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.11-0.11-0.04-0.07-0.00833%-0.1100.002100%0.01
Chauncey Billups0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.12,-0.15,-0.21-0.21-0.13-0.08-0.001641%-0.2100.001979%0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.52.631.417.732.63.045.3163.2
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +69.8%
DET -6.0%
DET -4.3%
DET -6.7%
DET -2.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLDETNBAORLDETNBA
this game14.016.815.5106.5100.0101.6
season14.616.8102.7101.7
opponent15.615.897.8103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL13.514.713.814.114.0
DET17.815.916.916.516.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tracy McGrady74760.490.010.490.3841313.615.6-1.9417.214.82.45
Shawn Kemp34360.380.120.260.129-41314.413.80.6417.416.31.12
Chris Whitney38370.310.190.120.107-2913.914.1-0.1917.016.60.40
Steven Hunter20190.290.210.08-0.0913-82115.913.52.3816.716.8-0.09
Pat Garrity42400.270.230.030.2123-113.314.6-1.3616.117.2-1.14
Darrell Armstrong60580.270.230.030.1832114.413.41.0415.918.1-2.20
Jacque Vaughn48500.240.26-0.020.1823-113.614.5-0.9317.316.11.21
Gordan Giricek40410.170.33-0.160.20-16-714.413.70.6916.517.0-0.52
Andrew DeClercq22240.090.41-0.320.15-27-913.314.3-0.9418.716.12.62
Drew Gooden70710.070.43-0.360.36-1015-2514.113.80.2716.218.5-2.28
Pat Burke1718-0.070.57-0.64-0.01-27-914.513.90.6115.817.0-1.14

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Curry4443-0.09-0.410.32-0.152-7917.715.91.8714.313.80.46
Richard Hamilton7373-0.10-0.400.31-0.369-142316.417.9-1.4814.014.2-0.21
Clifford Robinson8281-0.20-0.300.09-0.417-121916.717.3-0.6614.014.3-0.35
Chucky Atkins2323-0.25-0.250.010.05-105-1517.316.60.7313.714.2-0.50
Chauncey Billups7171-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.374-91316.617.3-0.7314.113.90.22
Ben Wallace8583-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.36-1-4316.717.1-0.3913.716.5-2.77
Mehmet Okur2121-0.40-0.10-0.310.04-1510-2517.216.60.6215.613.62.05
Corliss Williamson5049-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.20-72-915.917.7-1.8713.914.2-0.24
Jon Barry2121-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.00-149-2317.916.41.4814.014.1-0.10


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.26,0
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 93, IND 890.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.19,0.1,0.02,0.02,093.6%
MIN 88, DET 870.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.09,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.15,0.04,0.08,093.5%
UTA 115, HOU 1080.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.22,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.05,093.5%