NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	93		Excitement	6.2 [571]		MVP	Tyler Zeller (BOS): +12.9%
Indiana Pacers	89		Comeback	1.5 [243]		LVP	Kelly Olynyk (BOS): -14.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Zeller	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.03	10	75%	0.13	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jae Crowder	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	11	62%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Phil Pressey	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	7	47%	0.05	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gigi Datome	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	9	67%	0.11	2	-0.08	6	100%	0.05
Avery Bradley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	19	42%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	10	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Evan Turner	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.02	7	22%	-0.05	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Kelly Olynyk	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.05	0.01	8	67%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09	0.09	0.14	0.02	0.07	18	71%	0.17	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	36%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
David West	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.06	0.02	9	52%	-0.04	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	11	50%	0.02	4	-0.11	2	0%	-0.03
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damjan Rudez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.09	0.02	13	50%	-0.03	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	1.8	27.2	15.6	27.7	1.7	38.3	133.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +34.7%

IND -0.5%

BOS +4.2%

BOS +11.9%

IND -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	IND	NBA	BOS	IND	NBA
this game	15.0	15.2	15.1	96.9	93.7	104.2
season	14.3	16.0		103.1	102.3
opponent	15.0	15.4		102.0	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.3	13.2	14.7	16.8	15.0
IND	15.3	15.0	16.0	14.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jae Crowder	65	65	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.31	13	-9	22	14.7	15.5	-0.78	15.5	14.5	1.02
Phil Pressey	33	33	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.04	13	-9	22	15.1	14.9	0.20	16.5	14.5	1.97
Jonas Jerebko	33	32	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	-7	18	14.9	15.0	-0.08	15.7	14.9	0.83
Kelly Olynyk	39	38	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	-5	14	15.8	14.4	1.50	15.6	14.9	0.63
Evan Turner	55	54	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.26	0	4	-4	14.5	15.6	-1.05	14.9	15.7	-0.81
Tyler Zeller	50	53	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	1	2	15.4	14.5	0.92	15.5	14.8	0.66
Avery Bradley	70	69	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.32	-4	8	-12	14.7	15.7	-1.01	14.7	16.5	-1.74
Gigi Datome	12	11	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.01	6	-2	8	14.5	15.0	-0.52	15.8	15.1	0.70
Brandon Bass	66	64	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.42	-12	16	-28	15.0	14.9	0.13	14.8	15.9	-1.09
Marcus Smart	57	56	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.31	-19	23	-42	15.0	14.9	0.15	14.4	16.3	-1.88

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	59	60	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.34	14	-18	32	14.5	16.3	-1.74	15.3	14.4	0.91
Solomon Hill	47	47	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.09	4	-8	12	16.1	14.3	1.75	15.4	14.5	0.92
Roy Hibbert	51	50	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-7	10	14.5	16.1	-1.62	14.7	15.3	-0.58
George Hill	69	69	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.32	7	-11	18	15.0	15.6	-0.57	15.1	14.7	0.35
CJ Miles	60	62	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.34	6	-10	16	14.3	16.7	-2.35	14.7	15.5	-0.79
Damjan Rudez	24	26	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.09	-7	3	-10	14.9	15.3	-0.43	13.5	15.5	-2.00
CJ Watson	36	37	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.20	-7	3	-10	16.3	14.5	1.78	16.2	14.2	1.96
Ian Mahinmi	39	39	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.21	-8	4	-12	17.4	13.7	3.66	16.5	13.9	2.57
Rodney Stuckey	51	50	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.17	-13	9	-22	14.7	15.7	-1.02	13.7	16.3	-2.58
Luis Scola	39	40	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.03	-19	15	-34	15.4	15.1	0.27	14.4	15.4	-0.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.19,0.1,0.02,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 94, POR 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0	94.4%
DEN 117, MIN 110	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.4,0.29,0.36,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.25,0.16,0.06,0.09,0	94.2%
HOU 94, POR 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.26,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.29,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0	93.9%