NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	117		Excitement	6.9 [445]		MVP	Corey Brewer (MIN): +15.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	110		Comeback	1.6 [297]		LVP	Ricky Rubio (MIN): -9.7%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Hamilton	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.01	8	61%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kenneth Faried	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.01	7	87%	0.18	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.08	-0.00	9	56%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.01	7	71%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.00	11	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	10	64%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	15	57%	0.08	2	-0.07	10	80%	0.01
Timofey Mozgov	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Darrell Arthur	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	7	44%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Evan Fournier	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Miller	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.08	-0.03	10	45%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Brewer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.07	-0.01	9	67%	0.17	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.10	-0.03	0.02	14	62%	0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexey Shved	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	21	55%	0.08	3	-0.10	11	100%	0.07
Kevin Love	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	19	47%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robbie Hummel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	12	57%	0.07	7	-0.17	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	0.8	34.2	15.6	25.3	2.4	36.5	138.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +35.9%

MIN -6.5%

DEN +5.3%

DEN +15.2%

DEN +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	MIN	NBA	DEN	MIN	NBA
this game	14.6	13.9	15.1	117.0	107.8	105.2
season	14.0	14.6		104.5	107.3
opponent	14.5	14.9		104.7	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	12.9	14.6	14.8	16.3	14.6
MIN	13.7	14.8	14.0	13.1	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Hamilton	36	40	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.07	17	-10	27	13.7	15.1	-1.39	15.2	13.1	2.12
Nate Robinson	48	49	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.01	19	-12	31	12.8	16.3	-3.46	14.1	13.7	0.37
Darrell Arthur	46	46	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.12	13	-6	19	13.9	15.2	-1.33	14.5	13.4	1.03
Andre Miller	43	43	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.08	10	-3	13	14.7	14.5	0.15	14.1	13.8	0.31
Timofey Mozgov	49	49	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.25	3	4	-1	13.6	15.6	-2.00	14.4	13.5	0.92
Ty Lawson	70	71	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.21	0	7	-7	14.9	13.9	0.97	13.5	14.7	-1.19
Kenneth Faried	54	57	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	3	1	15.5	13.6	1.89	13.9	13.9	0.04
Wilson Chandler	68	67	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	11	-15	15.1	13.6	1.45	13.5	14.7	-1.27
Randy Foye	39	41	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.10	-4	11	-15	15.8	13.9	1.90	13.5	14.2	-0.71
JJ Hickson	39	39	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.27	-13	20	-33	16.2	13.6	2.61	13.4	14.2	-0.85
Evan Fournier	8	8	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.13	-10	17	-27	13.5	14.7	-1.21	10.6	14.2	-3.57

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shabazz Muhammad	8	7	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-5	3	15.1	13.8	1.32	14.1	14.6	-0.50
Nikola Pekovic	80	77	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.36	8	-15	23	13.9	13.9	0.06	15.3	12.3	2.99
Alexey Shved	8	7	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-1	-5	16.9	13.7	3.22	11.9	14.8	-2.96
Kevin Martin	75	76	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.44	9	-16	25	13.7	14.4	-0.67	15.0	13.5	1.52
Robbie Hummel	4	4	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.08	-9	2	-11	17.5	13.8	3.73	10.7	14.8	-4.02
Corey Brewer	87	86	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-8	9	13.4	16.6	-3.15	14.5	15.0	-0.45
Kevin Love	84	84	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.29	1	-8	9	13.5	15.9	-2.47	14.7	14.3	0.35
Ricky Rubio	90	88	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.26	-1	-6	5	13.5	16.7	-3.22	14.9	12.7	2.21
Jose Juan Barea	35	33	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.04	-15	8	-23	14.7	13.5	1.27	14.0	14.9	-0.96
Dante Cunningham	39	38	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	0.00	-21	14	-35	15.1	13.2	1.93	13.4	15.3	-1.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.4,0.29,0.36,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.25,0.16,0.06,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 93, IND 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.19,0.1,0.02,0.02,0	94.2%
UTA 115, HOU 108	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.22,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.05,0	93.5%
ORL 99, DET 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.26,0	93.3%