NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	94		Excitement	5.3 [745]		MVP	Walt Williams (HOU): +29.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	87		Comeback	1.3 [303]		LVP	Steve Francis (HOU): -15.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walt Williams	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.29	0.20	0.07	-0.03	20	76%	0.32	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Willis	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.06	-0.01	7	73%	0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Oscar Torres	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	70%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	9	64%	0.08	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Moochie Norris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	70%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Terence Morris	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	11	37%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Kelvin Cato	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kenny Thomas	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.13,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	0.01	9	50%	-0.01	5	-0.15	6	50%	-0.05

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	15	70%	0.15	2	-0.05	10	90%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	80%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	6	54%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	12	42%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	11	44%	-0.05	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Erick Barkley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	7	25%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	9	50%	-0.02	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	1.8	27.5	15.4	25.6	2.4	31.6	126.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +55.1%

POR -9.8%

HOU +1.2%

POR -3.3%

HOU +6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	POR	NBA	HOU	POR	NBA
this game	17.8	15.1	15.6	106.8	100.0	102.3
season	16.8	16.0		100.9	105.0
opponent	15.6	15.2		102.2	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	19.4	17.4	17.0	17.4	17.8
POR	17.4	16.9	15.0	11.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Willis	44	45	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.23	16	-9	25	17.1	18.4	-1.27	14.6	15.7	-1.09
Walt Williams	65	64	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.27	9	-2	11	17.0	19.9	-2.84	14.7	16.4	-1.78
Cuttino Mobley	81	80	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.24	7	0	7	18.1	14.3	3.79	14.8	19.3	-4.52
Glen Rice	60	62	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.14	7	0	7	18.2	16.8	1.45	15.9	13.2	2.65
Moochie Norris	40	39	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	2	3	16.8	18.6	-1.74	14.2	15.9	-1.76
Oscar Torres	15	14	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.07	4	3	1	16.3	18.1	-1.74	16.0	15.0	1.04
Steve Francis	65	63	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.27	-4	11	-15	18.2	16.5	1.69	14.6	16.6	-2.01
Terence Morris	7	7	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.06	0	7	-7	14.3	18.1	-3.79	19.3	14.8	4.52
Kenny Thomas	25	24	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	11	-15	20.3	16.8	3.50	16.5	14.6	1.84
Kelvin Cato	38	37	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	12	-17	18.2	17.4	0.77	16.1	14.4	1.66

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Davis	41	41	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.12	6	-13	19	15.4	14.9	0.55	18.1	17.5	0.65
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje	7	8	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-4	1	15.9	15.1	0.79	17.9	17.8	0.11
Bonzi Wells	65	68	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.33	6	-13	19	14.8	16.0	-1.11	18.7	14.6	4.11
Erick Barkley	40	41	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-4	1	16.3	14.1	2.17	17.8	17.7	0.11
Derek Anderson	76	78	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.37	4	-11	15	14.6	18.9	-4.33	17.7	18.3	-0.59
Steve Kerr	38	39	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-5	3	13.9	16.1	-2.19	17.3	18.2	-0.93
Rasheed Wallace	71	71	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.32	1	-8	9	14.8	16.6	-1.84	17.5	18.8	-1.30
Rick Brunson	21	20	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	7	-21	16.8	14.6	2.16	18.3	17.6	0.68
Ruben Patterson	47	46	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	6	-19	15.2	15.0	0.23	16.3	19.4	-3.03
Shawn Kemp	29	28	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.05	-17	10	-27	16.1	14.7	1.41	18.4	17.5	0.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.26,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.29,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 95, POR 86	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.25,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
NYK 88, MIN 79	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.4,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0	94.3%
BOS 93, IND 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.19,0.1,0.02,0.02,0	93.9%