NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	94		Excitement	5.4 [594]		MVP	Goran Dragic (HOU): +21.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	89		Comeback	1.1 [477]		LVP	Chandler Parsons (HOU): -16.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Goran Dragic	0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22	0.13	0.07	-0.01	14	71%	0.25	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Kyle Lowry	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.03	0.02	6	93%	0.12	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.07	-0.02	6	50%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.03	0.02	8	75%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	-0.00	11	62%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	75%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	11	41%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	17	35%	-0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	7	12%	-0.10	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	7	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.01	0.05	15	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Hasheem Thabeet	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	11	64%	0.08	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jonny Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	5	40%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	0.05	14	49%	-0.01	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.06
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	11	50%	0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Nolan Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	12	29%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	1.8	29.0	14.7	24.1	2.5	29.9	124.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +48.5%

POR -5.0%

HOU +4.2%

HOU +3.3%

POR -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	POR	NBA	HOU	POR	NBA
this game	15.3	16.6	15.6	104.4	97.8	102.8
season	15.4	15.7		103.5	104.1
opponent	15.4	15.5		104.7	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.0	13.4	15.0	15.7	15.3
POR	15.7	17.2	17.0	16.4	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Patterson	48	49	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.24	12	-7	19	14.8	15.8	-0.95	16.3	16.9	-0.55
Chase Budinger	54	56	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.27	9	-4	13	14.5	16.4	-1.89	16.3	16.9	-0.57
Kyle Lowry	43	44	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.25	9	-4	13	14.7	15.8	-1.16	16.5	16.6	-0.07
Goran Dragic	77	78	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.34	0	5	-5	15.8	11.8	3.99	16.3	18.2	-1.86
Luis Scola	65	64	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.40	-8	13	-21	15.7	14.0	1.68	16.7	16.3	0.43
Marcus Camby	48	50	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.01	5	0	5	15.7	14.7	0.97	16.5	16.6	-0.05
Courtney Lee	51	50	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	3	-1	15.5	14.9	0.63	16.6	16.5	0.04
Samuel Dalembert	19	19	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.06	1	4	-3	13.6	15.7	-2.06	16.8	16.5	0.36
Chandler Parsons	45	45	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.11	-5	10	-15	15.4	15.1	0.38	17.3	15.8	1.49

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raymond Felton	58	59	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.39	14	-19	33	16.7	16.3	0.36	15.9	14.0	1.92
Joel Przybilla	37	34	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-6	7	17.6	15.8	1.83	17.0	14.2	2.80
Jonny Flynn	9	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	0	-5	13.8	16.9	-3.09	15.1	15.3	-0.12
Hasheem Thabeet	6	5	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.06	-7	2	-9	10.8	17.0	-6.13	15.4	15.2	0.15
LaMarcus Aldridge	70	72	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.36	6	-11	17	17.1	14.8	2.34	15.1	15.7	-0.58
Wesley Matthews	64	64	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.35	5	-10	15	16.8	15.9	0.90	15.8	13.9	1.87
Jamal Crawford	71	72	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.38	3	-8	11	16.6	16.5	0.08	15.7	13.7	1.99
Luke Babbitt	44	43	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.09	-11	6	-17	16.7	16.5	0.19	13.4	16.9	-3.52
Nolan Smith	33	31	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.04	-19	14	-33	16.3	16.7	-0.36	14.0	15.9	-1.92
JJ Hickson	63	63	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.31	-12	7	-19	15.9	18.0	-2.13	14.7	16.6	-1.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 93, HOU 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
BOS 93, IND 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.19,0.1,0.02,0.02,0	94.4%
MIA 95, BKN 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.22,0.21,0.31,0.33,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.16,0.01,0.02,0	94.2%