NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	86		Excitement	7.7 [289]		MVP	Quincy Lewis (UTA): +17.3%
Utah Jazz	84		Comeback	1.9 [658]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -30.9%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.17	-0.06	0.21	-0.01	7	50%	0.24	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.04
Danny Ferry	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.02	7	67%	0.12	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	0.00	5	56%	0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Malik Rose	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Steven Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	10	43%	-0.00	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Charles Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	6	43%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Tim Duncan	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	18	55%	-0.02	2	-0.05	11	73%	-0.03
Terry Porter	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	8	56%	-0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.09	0.00	6	83%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.16,-0.16,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	15	56%	0.07	2	-0.08	11	91%	0.04
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	55%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.07	0.00	6	67%	0.04	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	0.01	-0.03	15	30%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	8	32%	-0.08	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.04
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.31	-0.31	-0.09	-0.21	0.01	13	42%	-0.27	1	-0.04	10	90%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	1.7	28.8	15.0	25.0	2.0	33.0	131.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +58.7%

SAS +12.2%

UTA -15.1%

UTA -5.0%

UTA -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	UTA	NBA	SAS	UTA	NBA
this game	15.7	16.5	15.6	95.6	94.4	102.3
season	15.8	16.1		104.3	102.9
opponent	15.1	15.7		101.9	98.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.8	16.0	13.2	19.0	15.7
UTA	17.2	16.7	17.5	14.6	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	80	80	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.40	9	-7	16	15.7	15.4	0.29	16.9	13.2	3.68
Steven Smith	73	71	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.39	4	-2	6	15.1	17.9	-2.75	17.0	14.8	2.12
Bruce Bowen	58	57	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.44	-1	3	-4	15.0	16.8	-1.75	17.3	15.2	2.04
Malik Rose	30	29	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.00	13	-11	24	14.7	16.1	-1.38	18.2	15.7	2.49
Terry Porter	45	44	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.11	15	-13	28	15.3	16.0	-0.78	16.8	16.2	0.57
Tony Parker	35	36	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.51	-9	11	-20	16.8	14.9	1.87	16.4	16.6	-0.28
Danny Ferry	50	50	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.39	-10	12	-22	16.7	14.3	2.44	15.0	18.4	-3.40
Antonio Daniels	35	35	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.07	0	2	-2	16.2	15.3	0.84	15.8	17.0	-1.25
Charles Smith	10	11	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.01	-2	4	-6	19.3	15.2	4.10	11.4	17.3	-5.89
Mark Bryant	34	32	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.11	-9	11	-20	14.7	16.2	-1.53	16.5	16.5	0.00

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Lewis	21	21	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.16	7	-9	16	13.1	17.6	-4.43	18.7	14.7	3.99
John Amaechi	7	7	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-1	0	18.0	16.4	1.60	13.7	15.8	-2.10
John Starks	6	7	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-1	0	21.0	16.2	4.80	13.7	15.8	-2.10
Donyell Marshall	33	34	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.16	2	-4	6	15.9	16.9	-1.03	16.7	15.0	1.64
Jarron Collins	38	40	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-4	6	17.8	15.5	2.29	14.6	16.5	-1.95
DeShawn Stevenson	14	13	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	1	-4	19.8	15.9	3.87	13.9	15.9	-2.02
Scott Padgett	49	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.25	2	-4	6	15.4	17.9	-2.49	15.9	15.4	0.47
Greg Ostertag	8	8	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	8	-18	17.2	16.5	0.79	11.5	16.1	-4.56
Andrei Kirilenko	57	57	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.41	2	-4	6	16.5	16.5	-0.00	15.9	15.2	0.80
John Stockton	75	77	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.39	1	-3	4	15.9	19.8	-3.87	15.9	13.9	2.02
Karl Malone	75	76	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.41	-3	1	-4	16.7	15.8	0.88	16.0	13.6	2.38
Bryon Russell	62	62	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.29	-8	6	-14	17.2	14.9	2.35	14.8	17.5	-2.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.27,0.31,0.38,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.2,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.3,0.22,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.17,0.24,0.1,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 101, DEN 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.34,0.22,0.33,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.42,0	92.4%
PHI 102, MIN 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.25,0.36,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.22,0.32,0.16,0	92.2%
IND 109, NOP 107	0.5,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.35,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.32,0.31,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.27,0.13,0.29,0.12,0.1,0.21,0.32,0.17,0	91.8%