inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 103 Excitement7.3 [402] MVPTony Parker (SAS): +28.2%
Memphis Grizzlies 96 Comeback7.6 [268] LVPPau Gasol (SAS): -11.1%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Parker0.280,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.280.210.120.041484%0.301-0.024100%0.02
Patty Mills0.230,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.070.15-0.01683%0.241-0.0100%0.00
David Lee0.140,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.140.020.12-0.00470%0.161-0.02250%-0.01
Kawhi Leonard0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.120.110.020.021957%0.151-0.031392%0.06
Dewayne Dedmon0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.020.001100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.02-0.00280%0.092-0.071100%0.01
Danny Green-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.030.01650%-0.0100.00250%-0.00
Jonathon Simmons-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.020.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Davis Bertans-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge-0.090,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.04-0.06-0.011746%0.023-0.113100%0.02
Pau Gasol-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.14-0.01-0.0460%-0.082-0.0400%0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Conley0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.170.170.090.08-0.001857%0.282-0.101090%0.06
Marc Gasol0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.050.05-0.001256%0.121-0.02887%0.04
Troy Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.001150%0.0400.0000%0.00
Andrew Harrison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.06-0.010.013100%0.0400.0000%0.00
James Ennis III0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.07-0.030.01779%0.161-0.1300%0.00
Wayne Selden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
JaMychal Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.02-0.00545%0.052-0.061100%0.01
Zach Randolph0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.02-0.021442%0.032-0.04333%-0.04
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.000.01960%0.083-0.092100%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.23.631.117.631.03.541.5152.6
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +17.4%
MEM -12.5%
SAS +31.4%
SAS +12.9%
SAS +0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASMEMNBASASMEMNBA
this game17.216.914.8121.2114.3107.7
season15.416.1110.1106.4
opponent14.914.8106.7103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS17.417.116.617.517.2
MEM17.817.116.916.016.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kawhi Leonard70690.78-0.281.060.3415-82317.316.50.7517.016.70.24
Patty Mills39400.59-0.090.680.4161517.117.2-0.1415.418.3-2.97
Tony Parker55530.59-0.090.680.2412-51717.316.80.5517.715.52.19
LaMarcus Aldridge72710.470.030.440.3061517.714.03.7217.513.63.92
David Lee45450.450.050.400.3052317.716.51.1417.616.21.45
Pau Gasol37370.040.46-0.410.0407-717.317.00.3016.217.5-1.32
Dewayne Dedmon770.020.48-0.460.0207-713.917.4-3.5911.917.4-5.53
Manu Ginobili31300.020.48-0.460.05-18-917.017.3-0.2915.018.0-2.95
Davis Bertans770.010.49-0.49-0.0525-314.917.4-2.5016.317.0-0.70
Danny Green4746-0.190.69-0.88-0.13-29-1116.418.1-1.6318.515.13.38
Jonathon Simmons1515-0.280.78-1.06-0.04-815-2316.517.3-0.7516.717.0-0.24

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Troy Daniels38400.55-1.051.590.0218-254316.017.7-1.6515.718.5-2.79
Wayne Selden1516-0.07-0.430.36-0.101-8914.617.4-2.8315.717.5-1.73
Zach Randolph6767-0.08-0.420.35-0.194-111517.514.82.6417.217.10.05
Andrew Harrison1413-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.07-81-916.117.1-0.9418.616.91.73
Mike Conley8080-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.22-6-1-516.917.0-0.0716.920.6-3.66
JaMychal Green2526-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.12-114-1515.217.7-2.4616.517.4-0.89
Marc Gasol7879-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.28-70-717.015.51.5417.216.50.70
Vince Carter5557-0.570.07-0.64-0.25-114-1517.016.80.2617.416.60.87
James Ennis III4847-0.710.21-0.93-0.27-158-2318.514.93.6218.715.23.56


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.68,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.79,0.88,0.61,0.68,0.37,0.22,0.16,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 83, NOH 810.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.48,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.71,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.36,0.17,0.27,090.9%
IND 103, NYK 1000.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.65,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.73,0.54,0.37,0.23,0.05,090.8%
WAS 102, CHI 930.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.45,0.37,0.23,0.1,090.6%