NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	103		Excitement	8.0 [237]		MVP	Kareem Rush (IND): +42.3%
New York Knicks	100		Comeback	4.6 [189]		LVP	David Lee (NYK): -12.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kareem Rush	0.42	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.37,0.42,0.42	0.20	0.22	-0.00	14	77%	0.42	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Marquis Daniels	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.06	0.15	-0.00	8	65%	0.27	1	-0.06	4	75%	0.02
Jeff Foster	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.09	0.00	7	71%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Diogu	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Danny Granger	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	12	59%	0.04	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Troy Murphy	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	14	47%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
David Harrison	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	18	39%	-0.07	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Travis Diener	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	7	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,0.13,0.13,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.10	0.03	20	63%	0.26	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.02
Eddy Curry	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	-0.04	0.02	10	77%	0.17	3	-0.13	6	67%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.03	0.01	4	86%	0.10	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.05
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0,0.03,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	-0.00	17	49%	-0.01	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.03
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	7	41%	-0.02	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.04
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	7	50%	-0.00	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.4	30.8	15.8	23.2	2.5	35.2	134.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +44.9%

NYK -19.4%

NYK -9.2%

IND +39.5%

NYK -5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	14.4	18.5	15.4	118.4	113.6	105.7
season	13.8	15.7		104.5	103.1
opponent	15.2	15.2		109.9	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.7	14.6	13.9	15.5	14.4
NYK	16.8	18.1	18.2	21.3	18.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marquis Daniels	46	48	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.45	12	-9	21	13.4	15.5	-2.05	19.8	16.9	2.86
Kareem Rush	51	50	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.47	8	-5	13	13.9	15.1	-1.20	19.7	17.0	2.71
Jeff Foster	59	62	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.49	5	-2	7	13.4	16.4	-3.02	18.1	19.4	-1.24
Danny Granger	74	75	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.49	3	0	3	14.5	13.9	0.54	18.5	18.8	-0.30
Mike Dunleavy	70	72	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.40	0	3	-3	14.6	13.4	1.20	18.4	18.9	-0.44
David Harrison	20	19	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	-1	5	13.6	14.6	-0.95	18.7	18.5	0.22
Ike Diogu	11	11	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.02	2	1	1	13.6	14.5	-0.85	17.5	18.6	-1.10
Shawne Williams	8	7	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.05	-2	5	-7	16.5	14.2	2.34	20.6	18.3	2.24
Travis Diener	41	40	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	-0.04	-9	12	-21	15.5	13.4	2.05	16.9	19.8	-2.86
Troy Murphy	55	56	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	-0.14	-8	11	-19	15.6	12.3	3.27	17.9	19.6	-1.65

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mardy Collins	9	10	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.07	3	-6	9	19.7	18.4	1.29	17.5	14.0	3.53
Eddy Curry	57	57	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.07	4	-7	11	19.1	17.5	1.64	14.7	13.8	0.88
Nate Robinson	17	16	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-4	5	17.9	18.6	-0.71	13.8	14.5	-0.69
Zach Randolph	68	66	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.25	0	-3	3	17.8	20.9	-3.09	14.0	15.4	-1.38
Jared Jeffries	30	31	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.22	-4	1	-5	17.7	18.9	-1.23	13.5	14.9	-1.34
David Lee	48	48	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	1	-5	18.9	18.0	0.89	14.9	13.8	1.11
Renaldo Balkman	61	59	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.40	-5	2	-7	18.8	17.8	1.06	14.5	14.1	0.40
Jamal Crawford	79	78	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.39	-7	4	-11	18.7	16.8	1.93	14.1	17.0	-2.92
Fred Jones	71	70	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.53	-3	0	-3	18.3	19.5	-1.19	14.4	14.3	0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.65,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.73,0.54,0.37,0.23,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 97, POR 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.71,0.52,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.45,0.52,0.22,0.09,0	93.0%
POR 111, NOP 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.7,0.68,0.54,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.69,0.39,0.22,0.23,0,0	92.0%
MIN 95, POR 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.36,0.46,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.59,0.61,0.39,0.45,0.32,0.1,0	91.8%