NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	100		Excitement	7.4 [375]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (SAS): +33.1%
Oklahoma City Thunder	96		Comeback	2.4 [325]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -16.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0.33	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.33	0.11	0.19	-0.03	17	65%	0.41	3	-0.07	14	71%	0.02
Tony Parker	0.23	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23	0.09	0.13	-0.02	14	63%	0.26	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Patty Mills	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.01	21	46%	0.05	1	-0.02	10	80%	-0.00
Danny Green	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	6	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Manu Ginobili	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	4	36%	-0.05	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.04

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.15	0.08	0.02	8	94%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	6	57%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	18	62%	0.20	5	-0.13	6	83%	0.01
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	6	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	7	29%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.22,-0.15,-0.22,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	31	44%	0.09	5	-0.26	8	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.8	31.2	16.4	32.3	2.8	42.3	153.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +8.2%

SAS +7.0%

SAS +9.6%

SAS +22.7%

SAS +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	OKC	NBA	SAS	OKC	NBA
this game	16.5	15.2	14.9	108.7	106.7	105.1
season	15.7	14.4		109.0	111.5
opponent	15.1	14.7		104.4	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.0	16.0	17.0	16.9	16.5
OKC	16.0	12.8	15.8	16.6	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kawhi Leonard	75	74	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.53	5	-1	6	16.2	17.4	-1.17	15.3	14.4	0.90
Danny Green	64	65	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	-1	6	16.9	15.4	1.53	14.9	15.8	-0.86
LaMarcus Aldridge	82	82	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.41	1	3	-2	16.9	12.7	4.21	15.1	15.9	-0.77
Tony Parker	65	66	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.43	0	4	-4	16.5	16.4	0.02	14.8	16.2	-1.35
David West	50	48	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.32	1	3	-2	15.7	17.3	-1.57	15.2	15.2	0.02
Manu Ginobili	39	37	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.01	5	-1	6	15.4	17.2	-1.82	15.4	15.1	0.29
Boris Diaw	28	27	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	2	0	14.2	17.4	-3.22	14.4	15.5	-1.10
Tim Duncan	24	23	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.04	4	0	4	19.0	15.6	3.44	16.3	14.8	1.51
Patty Mills	27	24	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.04	4	0	4	16.4	16.5	-0.02	16.2	14.8	1.35
Kyle Anderson	6	4	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.12	-7	11	-18	21.0	16.1	4.86	14.5	15.2	-0.71

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Morrow	5	6	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.03	4	-8	12	10.4	15.5	-5.06	17.7	16.4	1.29
Cameron Payne	17	18	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.03	1	-5	6	18.4	14.4	3.91	14.8	16.9	-2.02
Dion Waiters	46	49	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.15	-2	-2	0	15.8	14.5	1.37	15.1	18.0	-2.81
Enes Kanter	34	36	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.01	-7	3	-10	15.4	15.0	0.38	16.4	16.5	-0.16
Kevin Durant	78	79	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.33	-1	-3	2	15.4	13.4	2.03	16.8	14.5	2.32
Steven Adams	76	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.36	-1	-3	2	15.7	12.1	3.59	16.4	16.6	-0.14
Serge Ibaka	70	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.40	0	-4	4	14.5	17.7	-3.24	16.5	16.2	0.30
Andre Roberson	51	50	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.26	-9	5	-14	14.6	15.9	-1.27	17.1	15.7	1.37
Russell Westbrook	73	74	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.42	-5	1	-6	14.4	18.4	-3.91	16.9	14.8	2.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.21,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.69,0.65,0.6,0.31,0.11,0.23,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 111, SAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.33,0.25,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.29,0.38,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.6,0.53,0.28,0.1,0.01,0	91.6%
UTA 103, HOU 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.16,0.12,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.58,0.73,0.81,0.54,0.45,0.36,0.16,0.1,0	91.2%
SAS 106, MIA 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.24,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.24,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.27,0.41,0.29,0.46,0.38,0.21,0.22,0.05,0	90.9%