NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	111		Excitement	7.5 [376]		MVP	TJ Warren (PHX): +19.4%
Sacramento Kings	101		Comeback	3.1 [322]		LVP	Garrett Temple (SAC): -10.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
TJ Warren	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.08	0.02	18	67%	0.22	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.01
Isaiah Canaan	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	5	75%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marquese Chriss	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	-0.01	0.00	6	87%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.05
Dragan Bender	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	6	75%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Troy Daniels	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	10	41%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Alex Len	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Booker	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.01,0	0.01	0.03	0.04	25	46%	0.04	1	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Josh Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ulis	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	5	50%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	3	60%	0.04	3	-0.14	4	100%	0.03

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Skal Labissiere	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	6	86%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.00	10	59%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	4	100%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Frank Mason	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	0.03	8	44%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	12	46%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.01	10	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	-0.02	11	54%	-0.00	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
George Hill	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	11	39%	-0.03	1	-0.04	9	78%	-0.02
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.03	-0.12	0.01	8	75%	0.06	3	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	25.3	14.5	25.7	1.7	32.6	127.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +33.2%

PHX +4.4%

PHX +21.2%

SAC -4.3%

SAC -4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAC	NBA	PHX	SAC	NBA
this game	15.9	15.4	14.7	118.1	112.2	107.5
season	14.2	15.4		102.6	102.9
opponent	14.7	14.3		110.1	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.4	13.4	16.2	17.9	15.9
SAC	16.4	16.7	13.2	15.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
TJ Warren	76	71	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.32	14	-4	18	15.8	16.1	-0.30	15.1	16.5	-1.33
Tyson Chandler	58	56	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.29	12	-2	14	15.9	15.8	0.11	15.1	15.9	-0.79
Troy Daniels	43	41	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.14	15	-5	20	15.4	16.3	-0.84	14.8	15.9	-1.09
Marquese Chriss	55	52	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.32	7	3	4	16.1	15.6	0.44	15.4	15.5	-0.09
Devin Booker	61	58	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.23	5	5	0	16.0	15.6	0.46	15.5	15.3	0.22
Isaiah Canaan	38	37	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.14	6	4	2	15.1	16.4	-1.33	16.2	14.8	1.39
Tyler Ulis	46	44	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.18	-6	16	-22	16.7	15.0	1.70	15.2	15.7	-0.47
Dragan Bender	39	38	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.12	3	7	-4	15.6	16.1	-0.44	15.5	15.4	0.09
Alex Len	36	34	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.08	-2	12	-14	15.8	15.9	-0.11	15.9	15.1	0.79
Josh Jackson	18	19	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	-0.11	-4	14	-18	16.1	15.8	0.30	16.5	15.1	1.33

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Frank Mason	63	64	0.31	-0.81	1.12	-0.07	13	-23	36	16.1	13.8	2.30	16.0	15.7	0.30
Kosta Koufos	40	40	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.10	-3	-7	4	17.3	13.9	3.42	16.1	15.7	0.48
Skal Labissiere	31	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-7	4	14.5	15.9	-1.38	16.2	15.7	0.48
Buddy Hield	45	49	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.18	-9	-1	-8	15.8	15.0	0.80	16.1	15.6	0.57
Willie Cauley-Stein	57	61	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-6	2	15.5	15.2	0.33	15.8	16.0	-0.24
Zach Randolph	47	49	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	-6	2	14.8	16.1	-1.28	15.6	16.2	-0.63
Bogdan Bogdanovic	56	60	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	1	-12	14.9	16.3	-1.35	16.7	14.4	2.33
Garrett Temple	54	55	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.31	-10	0	-10	15.0	16.1	-1.06	15.1	16.9	-1.75
George Hill	57	61	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.22	-19	9	-28	14.8	16.5	-1.73	15.4	16.8	-1.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.33,0.25,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.29,0.38,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.6,0.53,0.28,0.1,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 103, HOU 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.16,0.12,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.58,0.73,0.81,0.54,0.45,0.36,0.16,0.1,0	93.1%
CLE 104, IND 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.69,0.28,0.09,0.02,0	91.6%
SAS 100, OKC 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.21,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.69,0.65,0.6,0.31,0.11,0.23,0.04,0	91.6%