NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	104		Excitement	7.7 [333]		MVP	Kyle Korver (CLE): +42.2%
Indiana Pacers	100		Comeback	2.2 [498]		LVP	Victor Oladipo (IND): -26.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.42	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.25,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.15	0.29	0.01	9	72%	0.42	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
LeBron James	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2	0.14	0.05	-0.01	22	60%	0.23	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.02
Jeff Green	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.01	5	67%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Rodney Hood	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.07	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
JR Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	12	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.01	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Clarkson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.07	0.00	9	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.07	-0.02	10	23%	-0.13	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.10	-0.00	12	76%	0.26	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Myles Turner	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.15	-0.05	0.02	9	94%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	0	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Thaddeus Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.04	0.01	12	43%	0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	13	38%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	-0.00	11	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.08	0.00	14	41%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.28,-0.28,-0.33,-0.26,-0.28,-0.27	-0.27	-0.11	-0.13	0.02	20	38%	-0.21	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.7	3.7	29.0	16.0	27.1	2.8	40.2	147.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +58.4%

CLE +11.6%

IND -11.8%

IND -3.8%

IND -4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	IND	NBA	CLE	IND	NBA
this game	15.4	15.4	14.7	110.6	107.5	107.5
season	14.8	14.8		111.2	108.3
opponent	15.0	14.7		106.7	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.3	15.2	17.0	15.1	15.4
IND	15.0	16.9	14.3	15.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Green	48	47	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.39	7	-3	10	14.8	16.0	-1.12	16.0	14.8	1.13
Kyle Korver	52	51	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.44	4	0	4	15.0	15.8	-0.81	15.3	15.5	-0.19
JR Smith	70	70	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	2	0	14.8	17.1	-2.28	15.2	16.2	-1.00
LeBron James	91	89	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.36	3	1	2	15.3	17.0	-1.67	15.4	15.5	-0.08
Kevin Love	53	55	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.28	3	1	2	16.5	13.9	2.58	16.1	14.4	1.69
Tristan Thompson	15	15	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.05	7	-3	10	14.0	15.6	-1.65	16.2	15.3	0.93
Larry Nance Jr.	33	30	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.15	-2	6	-8	15.0	15.6	-0.59	14.6	15.8	-1.21
Jose Calderon	40	39	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	5	-6	14.9	15.7	-0.84	15.5	15.4	0.12
Rodney Hood	27	27	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.01	-2	6	-8	15.9	15.2	0.66	15.4	15.4	-0.02
Jordan Clarkson	41	42	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.13	-1	5	-6	17.1	14.0	3.08	14.7	16.0	-1.37

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Stephenson	47	46	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.08	0	-4	4	15.4	15.5	-0.12	14.5	16.2	-1.73
Domantas Sabonis	51	49	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-4	4	15.3	15.6	-0.32	15.2	15.5	-0.29
Trevor Booker	14	14	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	0	-4	14.1	15.6	-1.50	16.7	15.1	1.56
Cory Joseph	31	30	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.14	-9	5	-14	15.5	15.4	0.10	16.0	15.1	0.91
Darren Collison	62	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.53	5	-9	14	15.4	15.5	-0.10	15.1	16.0	-0.91
Victor Oladipo	79	80	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.45	0	-4	4	15.6	14.1	1.50	15.1	16.7	-1.56
Thaddeus Young	74	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.30	-6	2	-8	15.8	14.1	1.65	15.7	14.3	1.38
Myles Turner	42	45	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.38	-4	0	-4	15.6	15.3	0.32	15.5	15.2	0.29
Bojan Bogdanovic	65	68	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.55	-2	-2	0	15.1	16.2	-1.14	15.7	14.7	1.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.69,0.28,0.09,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 111, SAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.33,0.25,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.29,0.38,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.6,0.53,0.28,0.1,0.01,0	91.6%
SAC 103, SEA 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.24,0.27,0.41,0.35,0.47,0.62,0.29,0.22,0.04,0	91.3%
TOR 94, LAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.35,0.28,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.47,0.29,0.15,0.01,0	90.6%