NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	103		Excitement	7.7 [314]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): +20.6%
Houston Rockets	99		Comeback	4.2 [190]		LVP	Juwan Howard (HOU): -6.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,-0.04,0.07,0.11,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21	0.09	0.10	-0.01	23	60%	0.38	4	-0.18	12	75%	0.04
Mehmet Okur	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.14	0.06	0.09	0.01	13	62%	0.20	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11	-0.00	0.10	-0.01	6	50%	0.13	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Deron Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	13	62%	0.18	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	5	70%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	9	44%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	58%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Paul Millsap	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.19,0.09,0.09,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.11	-0.00	20	55%	0.30	4	-0.16	13	85%	0.08
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	2	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	-0.01	0.02	7	89%	0.13	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	4	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	11	42%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	25	49%	0.05	2	-0.06	9	56%	-0.03
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	3	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	3.7	29.2	19.7	29.0	2.8	39.1	150.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +40.0%

HOU -13.0%

UTA +28.3%

HOU -6.0%

UTA +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	HOU	NBA	UTA	HOU	NBA
this game	16.6	17.1	15.4	121.2	115.1	104.5
season	15.9	15.6		107.4	103.6
opponent	15.7	15.0		99.2	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.9	16.0	16.4	18.1	16.6
HOU	16.1	18.3	17.1	17.0	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Harpring	50	49	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.46	13	-9	22	17.2	15.6	1.64	17.1	17.2	-0.13
Deron Williams	80	79	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.27	13	-9	22	16.3	20.8	-4.50	17.8	9.6	8.21
Mehmet Okur	71	72	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.48	3	1	2	16.7	16.1	0.59	17.6	14.4	3.21
Carlos Boozer	73	73	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.48	-3	7	-10	16.4	17.3	-0.89	17.2	16.5	0.68
Andrei Kirilenko	56	56	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.46	-3	7	-10	16.7	16.2	0.54	17.5	16.5	1.00
Gordan Giricek	21	23	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	-8	20	16.4	16.6	-0.24	16.5	17.3	-0.87
Paul Millsap	12	13	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.10	7	-3	10	17.3	16.4	0.89	16.5	17.2	-0.68
Jarron Collins	14	14	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.09	1	3	-2	16.1	16.7	-0.59	14.4	17.6	-3.21
Derek Fisher	48	51	-0.70	1.20	-1.89	-0.02	-23	27	-50	16.2	17.1	-0.91	16.0	18.7	-2.65

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luther Head	30	29	0.25	-0.75	1.01	0.14	4	-8	12	14.6	18.5	-3.92	17.2	16.2	0.97
Juwan Howard	49	48	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.14	6	-10	16	17.0	17.3	-0.27	16.5	16.6	-0.15
Dikembe Mutombo	7	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-5	6	10.9	17.7	-6.81	18.3	16.4	1.90
Yao Ming	67	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.14	-6	2	-8	16.9	17.8	-0.86	16.4	17.0	-0.55
Rafer Alston	81	80	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.44	1	-5	6	17.0	19.4	-2.42	16.5	17.4	-0.89
Shane Battier	73	73	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.39	-10	6	-16	17.8	13.3	4.49	16.5	17.2	-0.70
Charles Hayes	48	48	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.42	-9	5	-14	18.7	15.1	3.70	16.7	16.3	0.43
Tracy McGrady	75	74	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.49	-7	3	-10	17.4	15.1	2.32	16.4	18.0	-1.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.16,0.12,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.58,0.73,0.81,0.54,0.45,0.36,0.16,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 111, SAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.33,0.25,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.29,0.38,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.6,0.53,0.28,0.1,0.01,0	93.1%
SAS 100, OKC 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.21,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.69,0.65,0.6,0.31,0.11,0.23,0.04,0	91.2%
GSW 116, DEN 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.41,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.08,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.34,0.47,0.53,0.42,0.59,0.46,0.47,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.16,0	90.3%