NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	116		Excitement	4.1 [1012]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (SAS): +11.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	95		Comeback	1.4 [406]		LVP	Jordan Farmar (MEM): -13.2%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.11	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.01	-0.02	11	60%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Kawhi Leonard	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.13,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.13	-0.02	0.03	10	78%	0.14	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.03
Patty Mills	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	56%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	11	62%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Tim Duncan	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	78%	0.07	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
David West	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	7	65%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jonathon Simmons	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	57%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.08	2	89%	0.00	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Andre Miller	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Kyle Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	42%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	44%	-0.04	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.02	0.06	19	60%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.01	11	60%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Xavier Munford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	5	17%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.00
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.11	-0.04	0.12	7	87%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	39%	-0.03	1	-0.01	8	62%	-0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	9	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	13	52%	-0.03	6	-0.09	3	67%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	6	43%	-0.02	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.7	51.3	15.7	29.1	2.8	32.0	159.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +38.6%

SAS +5.5%

SAS +1.3%

SAS +5.0%

MEM -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	MEM	NBA	SAS	MEM	NBA
this game	16.0	15.1	14.9	124.7	103.3	105.1
season	15.7	15.7		109.0	103.4
opponent	14.8	14.7		106.7	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.9	14.7	14.7	19.0	16.0
MEM	14.7	16.6	14.7	14.4	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kawhi Leonard	55	56	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.12	20	1	19	14.3	18.4	-4.10	15.7	14.2	1.46
LaMarcus Aldridge	51	52	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.01	15	6	9	14.3	18.1	-3.74	15.8	14.2	1.61
Tony Parker	43	42	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.06	12	9	3	14.6	17.2	-2.59	15.6	14.7	0.90
Manu Ginobili	27	27	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.20	17	4	13	13.4	17.1	-3.74	15.9	14.8	1.10
Boris Diaw	42	42	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.27	19	2	17	15.8	16.2	-0.47	15.6	14.7	0.85
Tim Duncan	38	37	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	16	-11	15.7	16.2	-0.53	15.2	15.0	0.18
Danny Green	37	36	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	21	-21	16.4	15.7	0.68	14.7	15.3	-0.59
David West	37	37	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.08	6	15	-9	17.8	14.8	2.97	14.5	15.5	-1.04
Patty Mills	37	37	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.06	5	16	-11	16.8	15.5	1.36	15.2	15.1	0.09
Kyle Anderson	39	38	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.04	3	18	-15	18.5	14.2	4.25	14.2	15.8	-1.58
Boban Marjanovic	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.11	4	17	-13	18.3	15.6	2.66	13.4	15.4	-2.01
Andre Miller	17	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	22	-23	18.4	15.5	2.92	12.8	15.6	-2.78
Jonathon Simmons	29	27	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.06	0	21	-21	17.9	15.2	2.72	14.9	15.2	-0.26

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Xavier Munford	37	36	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.05	-3	-18	15	15.1	15.1	-0.05	17.5	15.1	2.46
Chris Andersen	45	44	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-22	23	15.2	15.0	0.22	16.5	15.6	0.99
Lance Stephenson	66	66	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.16	-9	-12	3	15.4	14.4	0.96	16.7	14.4	2.27
JaMychal Green	38	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.28	-14	-7	-7	14.8	15.4	-0.59	18.6	14.1	4.52
Tony Allen	32	34	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	-12	3	15.0	15.2	-0.17	14.6	16.8	-2.17
Vince Carter	54	55	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.02	-12	-9	-3	15.1	15.2	-0.13	15.2	17.2	-1.92
Jordan Farmar	55	57	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.07	-18	-3	-15	15.1	15.1	0.05	15.1	17.5	-2.46
Zach Randolph	47	46	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.05	-17	-4	-13	15.3	14.9	0.47	14.2	17.8	-3.66
Matt Barnes	86	87	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.13	-24	3	-27	14.9	17.5	-2.56	16.1	15.2	0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 101, NJN 79	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.21,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
TOR 129, MIL 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
SEA 109, PHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%