NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	109		Excitement	3.8 [1033]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +16.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	98		Comeback	1.3 [381]		LVP	Aaron McKie (PHI): -10.3%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.14	0.03	0.00	10	85%	0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	-0.04	0.05	-0.09	16	68%	0.20	8	-0.10	9	78%	-0.01
Jerome James	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	69%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01
Vin Baker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	14	67%	0.11	5	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Shammond Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	2	83%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.01	0.05	8	80%	0.03	1	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Brent Barry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	5	77%	0.05	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Art Long	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	80%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	25	62%	0.07	4	-0.05	11	73%	-0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	10	57%	0.02	3	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.03	10	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	100%	-0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	6	44%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.00	0.02	7	39%	-0.06	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.0	25.0	14.8	25.2	2.4	34.7	129.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +65.0%

SEA +2.6%

PHI -9.4%

PHI -7.1%

PHI -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	PHI	NBA	SEA	PHI	NBA
this game	14.7	16.3	15.6	116.0	106.5	102.3
season	16.0	15.9		106.3	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.8		98.2	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	12.2	16.8	16.0	14.2	14.7
PHI	19.1	16.0	19.2	12.0	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Barry	82	80	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.02	20	-9	29	14.6	15.6	-1.00	16.6	14.2	2.33
Rashard Lewis	76	74	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.03	18	-7	25	14.5	15.6	-1.04	16.4	15.9	0.48
Gary Payton	89	86	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.17	13	-2	15	14.6	17.2	-2.63	16.4	14.3	2.07
Vin Baker	63	63	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.23	6	5	1	15.6	12.9	2.75	16.8	15.0	1.81
Art Long	23	24	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.06	7	4	3	14.0	14.9	-0.94	20.8	14.7	6.17
Jerome James	31	30	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.12	12	-1	13	15.1	14.5	0.62	17.2	15.8	1.33
Desmond Mason	64	61	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.10	0	11	-11	14.8	14.6	0.21	14.2	20.3	-6.06
Vladimir Radmanovic	18	18	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.15	-7	18	-25	15.6	14.5	1.04	15.9	16.4	-0.48
Shammond Williams	24	24	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.26	-14	25	-39	13.2	15.2	-1.96	12.8	17.5	-4.71

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	25	24	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.18	9	-20	29	12.4	17.7	-5.26	13.7	15.1	-1.40
Derrick McKey	30	30	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.08	-2	-9	7	16.5	16.2	0.29	15.3	14.5	0.81
Speedy Claxton	50	50	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.05	2	-13	15	14.4	18.5	-4.10	14.6	14.9	-0.28
Raja Bell	10	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-15	19	9.4	17.1	-7.71	8.8	15.5	-6.68
Vonteego Cummings	8	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-15	19	8.4	17.0	-8.65	8.3	15.4	-7.05
Aaron McKie	45	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.06	-2	-9	7	16.2	16.3	-0.14	16.2	13.2	2.99
Matt Harpring	52	53	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-7	3	15.9	16.8	-0.89	13.7	16.0	-2.37
Allen Iverson	76	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.10	-13	2	-15	16.8	13.7	3.13	15.3	11.9	3.42
Corie Blount	47	50	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.01	-18	7	-25	18.0	14.5	3.53	15.2	14.2	1.04
Eric Snow	58	60	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.10	-15	4	-19	17.8	13.6	4.21	15.4	13.5	1.95
Dikembe Mutombo	59	59	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.01	-20	9	-29	18.4	12.5	5.95	14.9	14.4	0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 94, MIA 71	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.34,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.2,0.14,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
CHI 95, LAC 75	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
TOR 101, NJN 79	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.21,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%