NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	102		Excitement	7.0 [400]		MVP	Marco Belinelli (SAS): +31.1%
San Antonio Spurs	96		Comeback	2.7 [198]		LVP	Kawhi Leonard (SAS): -25.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.10	0.02	21	57%	0.18	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12	-0.04	0.13	-0.03	21	41%	0.15	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
JJ Redick	0.11	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.04	0.02	12	68%	0.17	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Matt Barnes	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.00	3	133%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	9	50%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Dahntay Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.04	0.03	5	60%	0.01	2	-0.05	15	47%	-0.14
Austin Rivers	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	6	21%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.31	0.31	0.22	0.07	-0.02	12	85%	0.31	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.01	9	60%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	83%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	12	71%	0.12	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	8	37%	-0.11
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	9	39%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	12	33%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25	-0.25	-0.15	-0.10	-0.00	15	33%	-0.17	4	-0.08	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.4	3.6	38.2	17.6	27.1	3.5	44.2	165.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +36.8%

LAC +5.2%

SAS -1.1%

LAC +5.9%

LAC +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAS	NBA	LAC	SAS	NBA
this game	15.6	15.5	15.1	110.9	103.2	104.2
season	14.6	15.4		110.5	106.9
opponent	14.9	15.3		101.1	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.4	13.8	17.7	16.9	15.6
SAS	13.8	17.5	16.6	14.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	56	58	0.65	-0.15	0.79	-0.03	23	-17	40	14.2	17.8	-3.64	16.4	14.0	2.48
Chris Paul	84	86	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.27	12	-6	18	15.5	16.5	-0.96	15.7	13.6	2.10
Blake Griffin	79	78	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.28	9	-3	12	15.7	15.4	0.27	15.5	15.6	-0.10
JJ Redick	75	76	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.11	14	-8	22	15.1	17.8	-2.70	15.9	13.6	2.29
DeAndre Jordan	69	67	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.22	1	5	-4	15.5	16.1	-0.62	17.0	11.8	5.15
Hedo Turkoglu	8	8	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	5	-4	16.5	15.5	0.96	13.9	15.7	-1.80
Jamal Crawford	47	48	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.38	-12	18	-30	17.1	14.1	3.00	13.7	17.4	-3.74
Spencer Hawes	1	0	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.04	2	4	-2	16.0	15.6	0.38	0.0	15.5	-15.52
Glen Davis	18	21	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	10	-14	16.7	15.4	1.30	14.3	15.9	-1.59
Dahntay Jones	0	1	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.07	-4	10	-14	0.0	15.6	-15.62	8.0	15.6	-7.60
Austin Rivers	23	22	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.18	-12	18	-30	17.2	15.1	2.13	12.7	16.4	-3.65

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marco Belinelli	42	43	0.21	-0.71	0.91	-0.18	13	-19	32	15.0	15.9	-0.85	15.7	15.6	0.15
Patty Mills	37	35	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.20	11	-17	28	13.6	16.8	-3.19	16.2	15.3	0.94
Matt Bonner	5	2	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-4	2	20.4	15.2	5.16	7.5	15.8	-8.30
Tim Duncan	60	62	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.22	0	-6	6	15.8	15.0	0.80	15.3	16.2	-0.91
Boris Diaw	51	52	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.21	-1	-5	4	15.4	15.6	-0.23	15.9	15.3	0.61
Manu Ginobili	28	27	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	0	-6	14.6	15.9	-1.35	16.1	15.4	0.70
Tiago Splitter	57	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.17	-6	0	-6	15.5	15.5	0.03	15.8	15.3	0.47
Danny Green	49	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-3	0	15.4	15.7	-0.31	15.7	15.5	0.15
Tony Parker	56	57	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.13	-17	11	-28	16.8	13.6	3.19	15.3	16.2	-0.94
Kawhi Leonard	80	77	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.22	-19	13	-32	15.7	14.2	1.49	15.5	16.3	-0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.35,0.25,0.3,0.4,0.48,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.03,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 92, SAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.74,0.69,0.71,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.15,0.15,0.08,0	93.2%
WAS 109, DEN 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.31,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.3,0.38,0.2,0.37,0.11,0.29,0.17,0.07,0.16,0.06,0.15,0	92.1%
ORL 99, CHA 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.3,0.09,0.03,0.04,0,0,0	92.1%