inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 109 Excitement7.9 [295] MVPKelly Oubre Jr. (WAS): +18.4%
Denver Nuggets 104 Comeback2.4 [261] LVPGary Harris (DEN): -19.9%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kelly Oubre Jr.0.180,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.180.060.11-0.011064%0.221-0.042100%0.02
Tim Frazier0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.100.060.00491%0.1600.003100%0.02
Tomas Satoransky0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.002125%0.0600.0000%0.00
Otto Porter Jr.0.060,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.060.070.010.021361%0.091-0.032100%0.02
John Wall0.050,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.05-0.020.07-0.001346%0.132-0.071587%0.04
Bradley Beal0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.07,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.030.020.010.001754%0.122-0.093100%0.03
Marcin Gortat0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.04-0.010.02787%0.124-0.111100%0.01
Jodie Meeks0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.04-0.01731%0.011-0.012100%0.02
Ian Mahinmi-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.02-0.02633%-0.042-0.0300%0.00
Mike Scott-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.00-0.00520%-0.042-0.0400%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.170.170.120.050.001481%0.377-0.208100%0.07
Emmanuel Mudiay0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.07-0.010.08-0.00968%0.235-0.17475%0.01
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.02-0.051246%0.0600.0020%-0.00
Malik Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.001150%0.0400.0000%0.00
Kenneth Faried0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.010.00375%0.0300.002100%0.01
Mason Plumlee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00450%0.021-0.04250%-0.02
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05-0.050.03-0.060.021555%0.022-0.071100%0.01
Wilson Chandler0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.040.01458%0.013-0.09475%0.00
Jamal Murray0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.04-0.011233%-0.061-0.0300%0.00
Gary Harris0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.14-0.06-0.00617%-0.084-0.1200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.50.832.514.727.10.734.3134.7
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +7.6%
WAS +9.7%
WAS +0.0%
WAS +30.5%
WAS +2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASDENNBAWASDENNBA
this game14.613.514.7105.8102.0107.5
season14.814.7108.2111.2
opponent14.714.7109.9107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS16.312.415.813.814.6
DEN13.714.311.814.413.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Otto Porter Jr.69690.63-0.130.760.2812-71914.215.3-1.1514.012.61.33
Kelly Oubre Jr.81810.62-0.120.740.2712-71914.016.5-2.4214.011.82.24
Bradley Beal74730.450.050.400.3050514.714.20.5313.812.81.04
John Wall73740.420.080.340.2750514.714.20.4513.812.81.04
Marcin Gortat61600.300.200.110.3005-515.013.81.2214.212.61.52
Ian Mahinmi40390.200.30-0.110.0841314.514.6-0.0913.113.8-0.79
Jodie Meeks36340.010.49-0.480.13-49-1314.914.40.5212.214.2-2.04
Tim Frazier3231-0.020.52-0.540.10-49-1314.814.50.3312.813.9-1.10
Mike Scott3738-0.050.55-0.610.01-27-914.814.40.4012.814.0-1.15
Tomas Satoransky1211-0.060.56-0.610.03-38-1113.714.7-0.9110.713.9-3.15

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Malik Beasley16180.18-0.680.86-0.037-121911.114.0-2.8613.914.7-0.81
Mason Plumlee2728-0.02-0.480.470.04-2-3112.314.0-1.7414.614.50.02
Emmanuel Mudiay4142-0.11-0.390.28-0.172-7913.513.6-0.1314.015.0-1.01
Kenneth Faried2323-0.19-0.310.11-0.14-2-3115.513.02.5615.314.30.97
Will Barton6364-0.20-0.300.11-0.345-101512.914.6-1.7415.113.61.55
Paul Millsap6465-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.26-4-1-313.613.50.0614.414.7-0.29
Jamal Murray6261-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.15-94-1313.613.50.0615.014.01.01
Gary Harris7070-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.21-72-913.314.0-0.6315.013.61.39
Nikola Jokic7475-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.430-5514.112.02.1714.514.6-0.02
Wilson Chandler7069-0.520.02-0.54-0.08-1510-2514.112.31.7913.616.5-2.95


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.31,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.3,0.38,0.2,0.37,0.11,0.29,0.17,0.07,0.16,0.06,0.15,0
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 107, DET 930.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.24,0.42,0.27,0.29,0.13,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,092.6%
PHX 103, WAS 870.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,092.4%
LAC 102, SAS 960.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.35,0.25,0.3,0.4,0.48,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.03,0.1,092.1%