inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 107 Excitement6.5 [510] MVPCaron Butler (DET): +23.9%
Detroit Pistons 93 Comeback1.8 [343] LVPGreg Monroe (DET): -14.8%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tobias Harris0.200,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.150.100.051767%0.2000.00250%-0.01
Channing Frye0.170,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.110.06-0.006100%0.191-0.0200%0.00
Victor Oladipo0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.010.03-0.06573%0.164-0.06580%0.01
Luke Ridnour0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.030.050.00456%0.0800.001100%0.01
Nikola Vucevic0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.110.030.071861%0.101-0.035100%0.01
Maurice Harkless0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.020.00658%0.0500.0000%0.00
Elfrid Payton-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Willie Green-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.010.00350%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Ben Gordon-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.010.001100%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Andrew Nicholson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Evan Fournier-0.020,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.01-0.011350%0.064-0.08250%-0.01

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Caron Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.240.150.07-0.021169%0.2400.007100%0.04
Brandon Jennings0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.070.070.07-0.01-0.011364%0.123-0.04250%-0.01
Andre Drummond0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.030.06-0.011243%0.092-0.05450%-0.00
Kyle Singler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.05-0.020.00470%0.0300.002100%0.01
D.J. Augustin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.000.00370%0.051-0.03475%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.01-0.001050%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Joel Anthony00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jonas Jerebko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.09-0.01-0.051127%0.011-0.0600%0.00
Josh Smith0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.08-0.06-0.01741%-0.024-0.11333%-0.03
Greg Monroe0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.09-0.050.00930%-0.102-0.052100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.327.516.522.52.327.6125.0
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +52.8%
DET -15.5%
DET -0.8%
ORL +10.3%
ORL +3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLDETNBAORLDETNBA
this game15.516.115.1117.6102.2104.2
season14.915.7100.4104.0
opponent15.315.3105.0105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL12.815.917.316.015.5
DET19.014.114.616.716.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikola Vucevic72710.62-0.120.740.0619-52415.216.9-1.7716.315.40.90
Tobias Harris69700.58-0.080.650.1415-11615.615.50.0117.013.04.09
Evan Fournier58590.410.090.330.09113815.715.20.4816.515.31.26
Willie Green30300.310.190.120.1659-416.415.11.3216.316.00.35
Victor Oladipo58580.200.30-0.09-0.0695415.515.7-0.2316.615.21.44
Luke Ridnour38360.190.31-0.110.16113-1216.215.11.1815.416.5-1.13
Channing Frye56580.140.36-0.22-0.1086215.815.20.6116.515.41.06
Elfrid Payton13130.050.45-0.39-0.03311-812.216.1-3.8715.116.3-1.19
Andrew Nicholson12110.020.48-0.45-0.01113-1214.915.6-0.7312.716.6-3.84
Ben Gordon1213-0.000.50-0.510.03-115-1615.715.50.2312.116.8-4.69
Maurice Harkless3736-0.030.53-0.550.00-115-1615.615.50.1715.016.8-1.77

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Caron Butler51520.14-0.640.78-0.015-192414.418.3-3.8816.015.01.01
D.J. Augustin3433-0.13-0.370.23-0.161-151615.516.4-0.9115.915.40.52
Joel Anthony76-0.19-0.310.13-0.07-4-10616.416.10.3617.315.41.91
Greg Monroe6162-0.19-0.310.110.01-7-7015.617.1-1.4915.415.9-0.46
Josh Smith5556-0.23-0.270.03-0.06-6-8216.914.82.1416.114.71.45
Kyle Singler3837-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.15-5-9415.116.8-1.7115.815.40.44
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope6464-0.30-0.20-0.100.11-140-1416.614.91.7215.416.0-0.64
Jonas Jerebko3332-0.32-0.18-0.130.04-12-2-1015.916.2-0.3514.616.1-1.47
Andre Drummond5252-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.15-10-4-617.414.33.1315.315.8-0.47
Brandon Jennings6061-0.540.04-0.58-0.01-184-2216.615.11.4715.216.3-1.12


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.24,0.42,0.27,0.29,0.13,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 100, ORL 880.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.27,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.21,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,092.9%
WAS 109, DEN 1040.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.31,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.3,0.38,0.2,0.37,0.11,0.29,0.17,0.07,0.16,0.06,0.15,092.6%
DEN 117, HOU 1050.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.39,0.3,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.34,0.34,0.22,0.33,0.28,0.17,0.24,0.13,0.19,0.04,0,0,092.4%