NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	109		Excitement	3.6 [1082]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +20.9%
New Orleans Pelicans	98		Comeback	1.3 [1062]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (NOP): -9.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.19	0.02	0.00	20	75%	0.29	5	-0.08	12	92%	0.03
Klay Thompson	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.01	0.01	19	64%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Draymond Green	0.13	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.01	-0.00	14	73%	0.13	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Harrison Barnes	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Andrew Bogut	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	12%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.24	0.02	0.09	20	73%	0.18	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.03
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.18	-0.01	0.06	21	66%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.10	0.00	0.07	4	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	11	45%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.16	-0.00	-0.08	5	0%	-0.03	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.01	-0.04	10	20%	-0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	3.5	29.6	16.7	30.2	3.3	31.6	140.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +40.5%

NOP -5.9%

GSW +6.3%

GSW +7.2%

GSW +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NOP	NBA	GSW	NOP	NBA
this game	14.9	16.6	15.1	119.8	106.5	104.2
season	13.6	15.8		109.2	106.3
opponent	15.2	15.5		106.1	99.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.3	13.9	14.7	17.6	14.9
NOP	18.0	17.4	15.9	15.1	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Draymond Green	80	80	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.00	18	-7	25	14.7	16.1	-1.40	16.9	14.9	1.95
Stephen Curry	72	73	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.08	14	-3	17	14.7	15.6	-0.91	17.1	14.8	2.29
Klay Thompson	68	67	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.06	11	0	11	14.9	14.8	0.04	16.9	15.8	1.06
Harrison Barnes	67	67	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.10	5	6	-1	14.8	14.9	-0.08	16.5	16.8	-0.32
Festus Ezeli	19	20	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.07	10	1	9	12.9	15.4	-2.48	15.7	16.9	-1.16
Andrew Bogut	38	41	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.23	-1	12	-13	16.1	14.0	2.14	17.9	15.6	2.25
Shaun Livingston	34	34	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.21	-1	12	-13	15.1	14.7	0.42	15.7	17.2	-1.48
Andre Iguodala	49	48	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	11	-11	14.9	14.8	0.04	15.4	17.9	-2.54
Leandro Barbosa	20	22	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	6	-1	14.3	15.0	-0.71	16.3	16.7	-0.44
Marreese Speights	8	8	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.15	-6	17	-23	17.2	14.6	2.62	16.1	16.7	-0.53

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alexis Ajinca	5	4	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.03	-3	-8	5	16.8	16.6	0.20	13.0	14.9	-1.94
Omer Asik	26	25	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	-6	1	19.2	15.6	3.55	13.7	15.3	-1.62
Quincy Pondexter	40	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	-7	3	17.5	15.9	1.67	13.8	15.7	-1.87
Norris Cole	37	37	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.04	-9	-2	-7	14.7	17.9	-3.14	14.8	14.9	-0.17
Jrue Holiday	36	32	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.00	-8	-3	-5	14.9	17.7	-2.78	14.8	14.9	-0.07
Dante Cunningham	50	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.38	5	-16	21	16.0	17.3	-1.33	15.9	13.8	2.10
Tyreke Evans	60	62	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-9	7	17.4	15.1	2.37	15.0	14.6	0.45
Eric Gordon	63	65	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-4	-3	17.3	15.1	2.20	15.0	14.4	0.61
Ryan Anderson	66	66	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.19	-6	-5	-1	15.6	19.2	-3.55	15.3	13.7	1.62
Anthony Davis	77	76	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.01	-16	5	-21	17.0	14.7	2.32	14.7	15.7	-1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.25,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 103, ATL 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
ORL 104, CHA 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
PHI 101, NYK 72	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%