NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	103		Excitement	3.8 [1076]		MVP	Bruce Bowen (SAS): +10.8%
Atlanta Hawks	88		Comeback	1.2 [552]		LVP	Antoine Walker (ATL): -12.2%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bruce Bowen	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.19	0.01	0.09	10	92%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Beno Udrih	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.04	-0.04	6	64%	0.10	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.03
Brent Barry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.05	9	62%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Mike Wilks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Tony Massenburg	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.01	-0.06	6	21%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Robert Horry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.02	0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	8	56%	0.02	4	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Manu Ginobili	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	6	53%	-0.01	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	20	52%	-0.00	3	-0.04	10	60%	-0.02
Tony Parker	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.01	-0.03	7	19%	-0.06	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	7	60%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	4	64%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jason Collier	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	2	37%	-0.03	2	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	8	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.02
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	7	56%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	-0.06	6	17%	-0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	9	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	0.08	21	50%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.3	28.6	15.6	28.2	0.2	33.2	132.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +47.6%

SAS +0.8%

SAS +4.6%

ATL -4.2%

SAS +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	ATL	NBA	SAS	ATL	NBA
this game	14.5	15.2	15.5	105.1	91.7	104.0
season	16.3	15.6		105.8	98.1
opponent	15.1	15.6		108.1	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	13.2	14.4	14.5	15.8	14.5
ATL	14.5	16.2	16.8	13.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasho Nesterovic	53	51	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.24	25	-10	35	14.9	14.0	0.97	16.9	13.3	3.59
Tim Duncan	66	64	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.11	18	-3	21	15.3	12.8	2.48	15.7	14.2	1.59
Bruce Bowen	66	65	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.10	17	-2	19	14.8	13.9	0.85	15.6	14.4	1.18
Tony Parker	66	65	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.19	20	-5	25	14.9	13.7	1.22	15.8	14.0	1.85
Manu Ginobili	54	53	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.26	22	-7	29	14.1	14.9	-0.78	16.5	13.6	2.97
Brent Barry	45	44	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.22	-1	16	-17	14.4	14.5	-0.11	14.6	15.7	-1.16
Beno Udrih	32	31	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.25	-5	20	-25	13.7	14.9	-1.22	14.0	15.8	-1.85
Robert Horry	16	17	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	12	-9	11.1	15.1	-4.08	12.6	15.8	-3.20
Malik Rose	43	43	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.33	-10	25	-35	14.3	14.7	-0.40	13.8	16.3	-2.50
Devin Brown	25	25	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	18	-21	14.3	14.5	-0.21	13.6	15.8	-2.13
Mike Wilks	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	20	-25	15.7	14.4	1.26	9.6	15.5	-5.93
Tony Massenburg	18	17	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.16	-6	21	-27	13.8	14.6	-0.86	14.3	15.4	-1.12

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Childress	38	38	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-25	35	13.7	16.2	-2.54	14.4	14.5	-0.14
Jason Collier	22	25	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.21	5	-20	25	15.4	15.2	0.25	14.6	14.4	0.16
Josh Smith	8	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-14	13	13.5	15.4	-1.88	13.9	14.5	-0.65
Jelani McCoy	28	27	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-13	11	15.1	15.3	-0.21	13.6	14.8	-1.17
Royal Ivey	47	48	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-16	17	14.0	16.3	-2.30	14.1	14.8	-0.69
Predrag Drobnjak	41	42	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	-10	5	14.1	16.1	-2.00	15.4	13.8	1.54
Jon Barry	52	54	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.20	0	-15	15	13.8	16.9	-3.04	14.8	14.0	0.79
Kevin Willis	30	32	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-11	7	16.2	14.8	1.43	14.8	14.3	0.49
Boris Diaw	42	43	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.08	-14	-1	-13	16.0	14.6	1.39	14.5	14.5	0.06
Al Harrington	63	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.25	-22	7	-29	16.3	13.2	3.06	14.4	14.6	-0.23
Kenny Anderson	38	39	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.15	-19	4	-23	17.9	13.5	4.39	14.7	14.3	0.44
Antoine Walker	71	70	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.26	-24	9	-33	15.5	14.5	0.94	14.1	15.5	-1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 116, DEN 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.23,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
GSW 109, NOP 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.25,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0	96.4%
PHI 101, NYK 72	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%