NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	101		Excitement	2.9 [1149]		MVP	Toni Kukoc (PHI): +8.5%
New York Knicks	72		Comeback	1.1 [505]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): -14.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toni Kukoc	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.14	0.01	0.07	12	82%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Eric Snow	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	7	73%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	7	67%	0.07	3	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Aaron McKie	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	4	82%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pepe Sanchez	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	16	54%	-0.01	2	-0.03	14	93%	0.03
Tyrone Hill	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.01	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	4	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	55%	0.02	2	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.06	6	44%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.01
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	0.00	0.07	6	83%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavor Postell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	8	45%	0.01	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Allan Houston	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0.03	15	57%	0.00	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.13	-0.00	-0.08	4	25%	0.00	5	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	36%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.02	9	27%	-0.08	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	2.6	30.4	19.5	32.9	1.5	26.3	142.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +43.4%

NYK -0.6%

PHI +4.1%

PHI +3.4%

NYK -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NYK	NBA	PHI	NYK	NBA
this game	15.1	17.2	15.5	113.5	80.9	100.9
season	15.7	16.4		101.4	99.2
opponent	16.1	15.5		96.6	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.5	15.0	15.5	16.8	15.1
NYK	17.0	18.6	13.3	21.1	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	68	66	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.39	31	-2	33	15.1	15.2	-0.15	16.5	19.4	-2.97
Allen Iverson	74	73	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.35	29	0	29	14.8	16.8	-2.02	16.1	22.2	-6.11
George Lynch	57	58	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.22	19	10	9	14.7	15.9	-1.27	15.5	20.5	-5.08
Eric Snow	52	53	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.33	22	7	15	15.8	14.2	1.60	16.2	18.7	-2.45
Aaron McKie	47	48	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.13	13	16	-3	15.2	15.0	0.14	18.1	16.2	1.88
Tyrone Hill	42	43	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.29	17	12	5	15.6	14.7	0.94	15.6	18.8	-3.16
Toni Kukoc	37	36	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.02	8	21	-13	16.1	14.4	1.64	19.7	15.6	4.08
Vernon Maxwell	38	39	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.05	8	21	-13	14.8	15.3	-0.49	19.5	15.5	3.96
Nazr Mohammed	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	27	-25	13.2	15.2	-1.96	21.0	17.1	3.94
Pepe Sanchez	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	27	-25	13.2	15.2	-1.96	21.0	17.1	3.94
Jumaine Jones	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	31	-33	14.9	15.1	-0.26	24.2	16.5	7.71
Todd MacCulloch	13	13	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	33	-37	14.2	15.3	-1.14	21.4	16.5	4.86

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lavor Postell	15	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-32	35	21.9	16.3	5.57	17.3	14.6	2.67
Travis Knight	13	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-27	25	21.8	16.5	5.31	15.4	15.1	0.28
Felton Spencer	13	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-27	25	21.8	16.5	5.31	15.4	15.1	0.28
Erick Strickland	27	28	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.17	-6	-23	17	18.2	16.8	1.42	15.5	15.0	0.50
Kurt Thomas	38	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.19	-12	-17	5	15.9	18.2	-2.34	15.0	15.2	-0.26
Glen Rice	52	51	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.26	-16	-13	-3	17.7	16.6	1.01	15.1	15.2	-0.15
Charlie Ward	46	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.26	-17	-12	-5	16.3	18.3	-2.02	15.3	15.0	0.29
Chris Childs	27	27	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.18	-15	-14	-1	16.7	17.5	-0.76	14.0	15.6	-1.67
Larry Johnson	51	50	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.14	-16	-13	-3	15.9	19.0	-3.03	14.8	15.5	-0.65
Allan Houston	63	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.22	-20	-9	-11	15.7	20.9	-5.21	15.0	15.5	-0.48
Latrell Sprewell	68	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.22	-23	-6	-17	18.4	13.4	5.05	15.5	13.6	1.96
Marcus Camby	45	44	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.15	-21	-8	-13	17.6	16.9	0.65	14.7	15.6	-0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 111, LAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
POR 116, DEN 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.23,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
MIA 97, PHI 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%