NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	123		Excitement	7.0 [415]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +36.3%
New Orleans Pelicans	119		Comeback	433.8 [7]		LVP	Eric Gordon (NOP): -17.4%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.36	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.36	0.11	0.28	0.03	29	56%	0.41	3	-0.05	14	93%	0.08
Harrison Barnes	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.09	0.04	9	55%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Draymond Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.01	11	48%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	0.00	0.05	7	71%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Andrew Bogut	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	5	60%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	8	24%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Leandro Barbosa	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	6	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Klay Thompson	-0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.11	-0.10	0.06	21	60%	-0.02	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	7	14%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.17	0.15	0.03	14	81%	0.32	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.01	10	80%	0.13	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	3	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	56%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Davis	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.05	-0.01	22	55%	0.10	4	-0.12	9	78%	-0.01
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.06	-0.05	18	49%	0.02	4	-0.07	3	67%	-0.03
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.12	-0.01	10	27%	-0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.0	2.7	29.5	17.7	32.4	3.2	42.6	3.3	23.4	177.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	2.0	17.8	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP -1.0%

GSW +19.4%

GSW +13.6%

GSW +7.6%

GSW +10.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NOP	NBA	GSW	NOP	NBA
this game	14.9	15.3	15.1	117.1	113.3	104.2
season	13.6	15.8		109.2	106.3
opponent	15.2	15.5		106.1	99.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
GSW	15.4	15.3	15.6	12.6	16.9	14.9
NOP	18.2	14.1	13.8	17.4	11.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harrison Barnes	73	73	0.86	-0.36	1.21	0.39	16	-12	28	14.4	16.1	-1.70	15.8	14.4	1.39
Stephen Curry	87	87	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.37	13	-9	22	14.9	15.1	-0.14	15.1	16.3	-1.13
Klay Thompson	91	91	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.21	18	-14	32	14.8	15.8	-0.97	15.7	12.9	2.87
Draymond Green	76	78	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	-8	20	15.1	14.4	0.73	16.4	12.4	3.95
Marreese Speights	24	26	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.39	-4	8	-12	14.0	15.2	-1.28	11.9	16.5	-4.60
Andrew Bogut	50	48	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.31	-2	6	-8	16.5	13.5	3.05	15.4	15.3	0.14
Andre Iguodala	55	53	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.34	-12	16	-28	14.9	14.9	0.01	13.9	16.8	-2.90
Festus Ezeli	6	6	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.07	-7	11	-18	17.0	14.8	2.18	18.7	15.1	3.53
Leandro Barbosa	21	21	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.11	-12	16	-28	16.2	14.6	1.62	15.1	15.4	-0.31
Shaun Livingston	42	42	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.22	-2	6	-8	13.5	15.9	-2.37	15.8	15.0	0.78

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Norris Cole	52	53	0.47	-0.97	1.44	0.09	13	-17	30	14.8	15.8	-1.02	14.8	15.1	-0.23
Ryan Anderson	60	62	0.31	-0.81	1.12	-0.19	17	-21	38	14.9	15.9	-0.92	14.6	15.4	-0.77
Jrue Holiday	35	34	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.48	13	-17	30	14.3	15.9	-1.54	14.9	15.0	-0.13
Dante Cunningham	35	34	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-7	10	14.4	15.8	-1.37	13.4	15.7	-2.31
Omer Asik	38	38	-0.29	-0.20	-0.09	-0.06	-8	4	-12	16.7	14.6	2.18	15.9	14.4	1.45
Eric Gordon	66	67	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.20	-9	5	-14	16.3	13.8	2.46	15.3	14.3	0.98
Anthony Davis	93	92	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.57	3	-7	10	14.9	18.7	-3.85	15.4	11.8	3.62
Tyreke Evans	78	78	-0.87	0.37	-1.24	-0.25	-21	17	-38	15.3	15.5	-0.24	15.1	14.4	0.77
Quincy Pondexter	68	67	-0.96	0.46	-1.43	-0.05	-31	27	-58	16.1	14.0	2.12	14.4	15.8	-1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.46,0.29,0.16,0.1,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 96, CLE 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.84,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.46,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.08,0	90.3%
CLE 102, UTA 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.83,0.75,0.71,0.94,0.91,0.46,0.31,0.45,0.23,0.09,0	89.4%
CHA 120, ORL 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.93,0.85,0.85,0.5,0.25,0.15,0.33,0.07,0	89.4%