NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	113		Excitement	10.7 [46]		MVP	Tony Snell (CHI): +18.5%
Milwaukee Bucks	106		Comeback	8.6 [210]		LVP	O.J. Mayo (MIL): -25.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Snell	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.06	-0.03	9	80%	0.21	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Rose	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.14	-0.00	-0.02	23	65%	0.34	3	-0.18	6	83%	-0.13
Mike Dunleavy	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	8	75%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	37%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.05	-0.10	0.03	10	65%	0.09	2	-0.17	6	83%	-0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	5	17%	-0.07	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.00
Jimmy Butler	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	0.01	-0.17	-0.00	20	50%	-0.03	3	-0.12	8	87%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	8	68%	0.10	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.10
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.01	6	69%	0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Khris Middleton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.21,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	17	47%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	9	39%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	10%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.01	-0.15	0.04	22	48%	-0.06	3	-0.14	8	62%	-0.03
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-0.01	21	44%	-0.09	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.06,-0.05,-0.17,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.08	-0.19	-0.02	10	40%	-0.13	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	23.4	2.6	30.0	15.5	26.5	2.5	35.3	1.8	11.2	1.7	13.2	163.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	2.0	17.8	2.0	17.8	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +65.5%

CHI +17.8%

MIL -12.3%

MIL -25.6%

CHI +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MIL	NBA	CHI	MIL	NBA
this game	17.6	15.1	15.1	106.6	99.1	104.2
season	15.5	14.5		105.4	100.5
opponent	15.7	15.2		101.0	102.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHI	17.0	16.4	18.2	19.9	16.7	17.6
MIL	15.1	13.0	16.9	14.5	16.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Rose	90	90	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.19	15	-8	23	17.0	20.7	-3.71	15.2	14.5	0.73
Joakim Noah	77	77	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.45	4	3	1	17.3	18.4	-1.16	14.5	16.7	-2.20
Jimmy Butler	97	97	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.27	8	-1	9	17.8	15.7	2.12	14.9	17.0	-2.11
Pau Gasol	75	78	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.13	18	-11	29	16.7	19.7	-3.02	15.6	13.8	1.72
Tony Snell	48	49	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.29	3	4	-1	17.9	17.4	0.50	15.8	14.5	1.28
Mike Dunleavy	54	55	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.00	8	-1	9	17.3	17.9	-0.63	15.4	14.7	0.65
Taj Gibson	53	52	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.27	-8	15	-23	18.7	16.5	2.15	14.6	15.6	-0.99
Kirk Hinrich	13	13	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	12	-17	16.5	17.8	-1.21	12.6	15.4	-2.81
Aaron Brooks	16	17	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.11	-8	15	-23	20.7	17.0	3.71	14.5	15.2	-0.73

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Henson	58	59	0.37	-0.87	1.24	-0.16	18	-25	43	15.1	15.0	0.08	19.9	14.7	5.17
Jerryd Bayless	24	26	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.20	14	-21	35	13.7	15.5	-1.72	21.3	16.4	4.86
Jared Dudley	35	36	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-10	13	13.8	15.7	-1.91	20.3	16.2	4.05
O.J. Mayo	58	58	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.29	7	-14	21	14.1	16.2	-2.10	18.3	16.7	1.60
Giannis Antetokounmpo	95	94	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.32	0	-7	7	15.2	14.2	0.94	17.5	18.4	-0.92
Zaza Pachulia	38	36	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.16	-18	11	-29	15.3	15.0	0.36	15.2	18.8	-3.56
Ersan Ilyasova	43	41	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.04	-13	6	-19	16.5	14.2	2.31	15.5	18.9	-3.37
Khris Middleton	90	89	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.12	-18	11	-29	15.4	13.2	2.20	17.1	20.2	-3.06
Michael Carter-Williams	83	80	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.10	-21	14	-35	15.5	13.7	1.72	16.4	21.3	-4.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.8,0.7,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.2,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.5,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.58,0.5,0.19,0.11,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 95, CHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.58,0.52,0.35,0.38,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.16,0.06,0.27,0.54,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.58,0.46,0.26,0.36,0.24,0.1,0	86.1%
LAL 126, HOU 115	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.35,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.08,0.19,0.17,0.1,0.22,0.16,0.02,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.76,0.72,0.46,0.19,0.16,0.02,0.01,0	85.9%
MIA 113, WAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.67,0.57,0.5,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.38,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.29,0.15,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.01,0.02,0.09,0	85.2%