inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 95 Excitement11.4 [24] MVPMookie Blaylock (GSW): +35.6%
Chicago Bulls 92 Comeback3.1 [257] LVPJason Caffey (GSW): -37.7%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mookie Blaylock0.360,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.22,0.36,0.360.070.28-0.011764%0.513-0.152100%0.01
Sam Jacobson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Donyell Marshall-0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.012046%0.141-0.20650%-0.07
Billy Owens-0.080,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08-0.02-0.050.00762%0.043-0.122100%0.01
Vonteego Cummings-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.110.01-0.02655%0.075-0.15862%-0.00
Adonal Foyle-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11-0.09-0.02-0.00310%-0.1100.00425%-0.04
Larry Hughes-0.190,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.11-0.10-0.021444%-0.094-0.104100%0.02
Jason Caffey-0.380,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38-0.18-0.22-0.021144%-0.225-0.161258%-0.09

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Elton Brand0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.12,-0.11,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.18,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.120.12-0.110.22-0.011952%0.265-0.141250%-0.10
Will Perdue0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.000.001100%0.021-0.0300%0.00
B.J. Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Chris Anstey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.00233%-0.042-0.0420%-0.05
Hersey Hawkins0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.06-0.06-0.01841%-0.101-0.02683%0.00
Dickey Simpkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.06-0.06-0.00250%0.023-0.1400%0.00
Matt Maloney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.12-0.04-0.0220%-0.024-0.1200%0.00
Metta World Peace0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.07-0.060.02643%-0.053-0.10250%-0.01
Chris Carr0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.19-0.19-0.05-0.110.031246%-0.093-0.1100%0.00
Randy Brown0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,-0.17,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.24-0.01-0.220.011067%0.024-0.264100%0.12
Fred Hoiberg0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.19,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29-0.29-0.03-0.26-0.001845%-0.261-0.034100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2Total
this game23.12.430.516.428.21.841.61.821.01.619.0187.4
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.71.718.21.718.2137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +72.8%
CHI -9.5%
CHI -12.1%
CHI -7.9%
GSW +6.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWCHINBAGSWCHINBA
this game15.815.315.284.882.1101.7
season14.716.597.291.8
opponent14.914.7102.3105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
GSW15.715.012.817.425.715.9
CHI15.617.715.412.418.215.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vonteego Cummings73690.83-0.331.170.4812-92115.017.3-2.2615.515.00.50
Mookie Blaylock92930.57-0.070.630.2411-81916.014.71.2615.514.50.98
Billy Owens90900.460.040.410.60-58-1315.815.60.2414.817.2-2.42
Adonal Foyle68630.330.170.150.53-710-1716.015.50.5114.116.8-2.61
Donyell Marshall83850.290.210.080.174-1515.417.0-1.5915.115.9-0.79
Jason Caffey63670.270.230.05-0.1715-122715.416.3-0.8517.012.74.30
Sam Jacobson77-0.030.53-0.560.09-47-119.016.2-7.2414.615.3-0.76
Larry Hughes7878-0.210.71-0.930.11-1114-2516.613.92.7314.916.2-1.36

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Randy Brown73750.07-0.570.64-0.178-111914.516.7-2.1617.412.54.97
Hersey Hawkins5960-0.08-0.420.34-0.235-81314.316.4-2.0417.713.54.19
Chris Anstey1817-0.10-0.400.31-0.121-4514.215.5-1.2713.416.2-2.80
Fred Hoiberg7372-0.12-0.380.27-0.06-2-1-115.714.51.2315.117.0-1.85
Dickey Simpkins7476-0.17-0.330.17-0.170-3315.514.80.7115.915.40.50
B.J. Armstrong1212-0.23-0.270.04-0.08-52-715.615.20.3313.716.0-2.28
Metta World Peace5654-0.24-0.260.020.02-96-1515.215.4-0.1814.217.2-2.98
Will Perdue2119-0.25-0.250.00-0.16-30-316.215.11.1118.115.32.73
Matt Maloney2725-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.16-63-917.214.72.5011.816.9-5.08
Elton Brand9395-0.510.01-0.53-0.40-41-515.613.71.8716.213.42.80
Chris Carr5455-0.540.04-0.58-0.540-3315.015.6-0.5915.016.5-1.47


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.58,0.52,0.35,0.38,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.16,0.06,0.27,0.54,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.58,0.46,0.26,0.36,0.24,0.1,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 113, MIL 1060.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.8,0.7,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.2,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.5,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.58,0.5,0.19,0.11,0.01,0,086.1%
CLE 97, BOS 910.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.12,0.06,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.18,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.01,086.1%
LAL 126, HOU 1150.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.35,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.08,0.19,0.17,0.1,0.22,0.16,0.02,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.76,0.72,0.46,0.19,0.16,0.02,0.01,085.9%