NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	126		Excitement	11.4 [25]		MVP	Emanual Davis (HOU): +34.0%
Houston Rockets	115		Comeback	11.6 [77]		LVP	Tracy Moore (HOU): -31.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cedric Ceballos	0.33	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.07,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.02,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.04	0.26	-0.03	20	51%	0.33	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Eddie Jones	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.05	-0.00	12	72%	0.18	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Nick Van Exel	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.08	-0.02	27	49%	0.13	0	0.00	5	100%	0.07
Travis Knight	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Sean Rooks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Byron Scott	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	3	70%	0.03	2	-0.11	4	100%	0.03
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.01	-0.08	0.01	24	61%	0.09	5	-0.18	8	50%	-0.03
Elden Campbell	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	9	42%	-0.06	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.15

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.01	10	86%	0.34	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.06	0.25	0.01	22	58%	0.36	1	-0.06	9	78%	0.01
Charles Barkley	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,0,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	-0.01	0.25	0.01	18	67%	0.42	7	-0.20	13	77%	-0.03
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	8	56%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charles Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	9	28%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	9	33%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	5	30%	-0.05	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Clyde Drexler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	9	20%	-0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tracy Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.06	-0.25	0.00	7	33%	-0.17	1	-0.14	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	23.5	3.5	30.3	17.4	28.5	2.7	41.1	2.5	16.1	1.8	16.2	183.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	1.6	17.8	1.6	17.8	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU -27.0%

LAL +35.1%

LAL +4.6%

LAL +13.4%

LAL +23.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	HOU	NBA	LAL	HOU	NBA
this game	16.3	16.8	15.6	118.9	110.6	104.4
season	15.3	15.5		105.8	107.2
opponent	15.4	15.7		103.0	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	13.7	16.0	15.9	17.3	16.9	15.9
HOU	19.9	16.7	16.8	14.5	16.4	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Van Exel	98	96	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.11	19	-8	27	16.1	18.6	-2.48	16.7	18.6	-1.96
Byron Scott	72	71	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.20	8	3	5	17.1	14.6	2.48	16.4	17.7	-1.24
Elden Campbell	78	75	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.18	7	4	3	16.6	15.5	1.08	16.3	18.1	-1.78
Cedric Ceballos	85	82	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	0	11	16.4	16.2	0.17	17.1	15.6	1.56
Eddie Jones	66	67	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.10	8	3	5	15.2	18.2	-2.96	17.5	15.6	1.90
Shaquille O'Neal	77	75	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.19	4	7	-3	16.1	16.9	-0.83	17.4	15.3	2.04
Travis Knight	5	5	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.02	6	5	1	20.6	16.1	4.48	14.4	16.9	-2.54
Sean Rooks	23	23	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.00	4	7	-3	14.7	16.8	-2.03	16.4	16.9	-0.55
Kobe Bryant	9	9	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	15	-19	18.4	16.1	2.31	14.1	17.1	-2.96
Derek Fisher	8	8	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.07	-8	19	-27	18.6	16.1	2.48	18.6	16.7	1.96

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emanual Davis	58	60	0.31	-0.81	1.13	-0.04	12	-23	35	15.5	18.5	-2.94	16.8	15.8	1.01
Tracy Moore	45	48	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.19	12	-23	35	15.7	17.7	-2.03	17.7	15.2	2.48
Sam Mack	8	8	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.01	2	-13	15	15.1	17.0	-1.83	17.2	16.3	0.99
Charles Jones	14	14	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-10	9	15.6	17.0	-1.44	14.6	16.6	-2.03
Matt Bullard	37	41	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.06	-1	-10	9	15.4	17.6	-2.19	18.1	15.2	2.88
Hakeem Olajuwon	55	59	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.13	1	-12	13	16.5	17.2	-0.69	17.7	14.6	3.04
Matt Maloney	38	38	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.04	-12	1	-13	19.0	15.5	3.48	14.5	17.4	-2.85
Kevin Willis	35	33	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.06	-11	0	-11	17.8	16.3	1.52	14.7	17.1	-2.42
Charles Barkley	95	97	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	0	-11	16.9	16.4	0.41	16.3	16.9	-0.61
Clyde Drexler	53	53	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.03	-17	6	-23	17.9	15.7	2.22	14.7	18.0	-3.26
Mario Elie	65	62	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.06	-18	7	-25	17.7	15.3	2.46	15.4	17.7	-2.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.35,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.08,0.19,0.17,0.1,0.22,0.16,0.02,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.76,0.72,0.46,0.19,0.16,0.02,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 101, MIL 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.13,0.19,0.09,0.03,0.16,0.1,0.01,0	86.5%
NYK 98, POR 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.27,0.37,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0	86.3%
BOS 98, SEA 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.26,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.14,0.21,0.07,0,0	86.0%