NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	91		Excitement	6.5 [507]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): +19.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Comeback	2.4 [914]		LVP	Brandon Bass (BOS): -10.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.01	14	58%	0.16	4	-0.09	10	100%	0.07
Jared Sullinger	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.02	-0.01	12	58%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	10	45%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Kelly Olynyk	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	9	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Tyler Zeller	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	8	61%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Avery Bradley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	9	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	11	35%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Brandon Bass	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	6	14%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.11	0.01	18	60%	0.22	2	-0.03	7	100%	0.04
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	1	125%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.06	0.01	22	58%	0.21	6	-0.17	8	87%	0.01
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	11	67%	0.13	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	8	57%	0.05	4	-0.11	7	86%	0.02
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	12	29%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.6	3.4	29.6	17.4	26.8	2.8	35.4	143.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +45.9%

CLE +6.5%

CLE +16.7%

BOS -19.2%

CLE +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CLE	NBA	BOS	CLE	NBA
this game	14.2	16.2	15.1	97.8	103.1	104.2
season	14.3	15.9		103.1	108.7
opponent	14.9	15.4		104.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.8	15.1	14.3	13.8	14.2
CLE	14.4	16.9	16.3	17.5	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Olynyk	40	42	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.23	13	-21	34	14.8	13.8	1.01	15.0	17.2	-2.21
Jonas Jerebko	7	8	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.02	2	-10	12	11.7	14.5	-2.74	20.2	15.8	4.42
Evan Turner	65	65	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.20	8	-16	24	14.4	13.8	0.61	16.7	15.2	1.44
Tyler Zeller	60	59	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-3	-2	14.3	14.2	0.10	17.1	14.8	2.26
Jae Crowder	55	60	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.15	-2	-6	4	13.8	14.9	-1.05	16.5	15.7	0.76
Isaiah Thomas	58	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-5	2	13.9	14.8	-0.84	16.4	15.9	0.54
Brandon Bass	30	32	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	5	-18	14.6	14.1	0.47	15.5	16.5	-1.05
Jared Sullinger	43	46	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.28	-8	0	-8	14.5	14.0	0.53	15.0	17.3	-2.30
Marcus Smart	52	51	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	0.03	-20	12	-32	14.1	14.4	-0.34	15.2	17.4	-2.22
Avery Bradley	55	57	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.26	-12	4	-16	14.4	14.0	0.37	16.9	15.2	1.72

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyrie Irving	79	77	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.27	15	-7	22	16.0	17.3	-1.33	13.7	16.8	-3.10
Timofey Mozgov	58	58	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.19	17	-9	26	15.3	17.6	-2.24	14.6	13.7	0.85
LeBron James	83	82	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.22	11	-3	14	16.2	16.5	-0.30	14.5	12.4	2.14
J.R. Smith	71	68	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.22	10	-2	12	15.7	17.7	-2.00	13.4	16.6	-3.27
Kevin Love	58	59	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.21	2	6	-4	15.7	17.0	-1.28	15.3	12.5	2.75
Iman Shumpert	49	45	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	10	-12	17.9	14.5	3.39	14.1	14.4	-0.31
Kendrick Perkins	5	4	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	9	-10	10.4	16.5	-6.12	13.5	14.3	-0.78
James Jones	8	7	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	10	-12	20.2	15.8	4.42	11.7	14.5	-2.74
Tristan Thompson	52	49	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	11	-14	16.9	15.4	1.54	14.0	14.5	-0.48
Matthew Dellavedova	17	16	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.00	-7	15	-22	17.3	16.0	1.33	16.8	13.7	3.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 83, MIA 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.74,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.89,0.9,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.8,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.8,0.89,0.97,0.99,1,1	93.3%
HOU 82, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.65,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.9,1,1,1	93.1%
CHI 88, TOR 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.38,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.62,0.81,0.74,0.85,0.93,0.89,0.97,0.99,1,1	92.6%