inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 82 Excitement6.0 [624] MVPAndrei Kirilenko (UTA): +16.1%
Utah Jazz 94 Comeback1.8 [801] LVPTracy McGrady (HOU): -25.0%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rafer Alston0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.070.020.03-0.031446%0.0700.0000%0.00
Dikembe Mutombo0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.001100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Juwan Howard0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.010.00560%0.0200.0000%0.00
Luther Head0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.000.00267%0.021-0.02250%-0.00
John Lucas III0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Charles Hayes-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.020.001100%0.052-0.0500%0.00
Shane Battier-0.070,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.01533%0.033-0.10250%-0.00
Yao Ming-0.140,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.04-0.090.021661%0.138-0.28978%0.01
Tracy McGrady-0.250,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.23,-0.28,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25-0.08-0.19-0.022346%-0.035-0.221090%0.06

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.050.110.011064%0.181-0.022100%0.02
Deron Williams0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.020.10-0.011160%0.182-0.05367%0.01
Carlos Boozer0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.030.021659%0.132-0.05580%-0.00
Gordan Giricek0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.02-0.00567%0.0700.002100%0.01
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.000.004100%0.091-0.0300%0.00
Mehmet Okur0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.020.041170%0.143-0.105100%0.03
Jarron Collins00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.02-0.011127%-0.091-0.0100%0.00
Matt Harpring0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.06-0.080.02420%-0.101-0.062100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.33.731.119.728.33.436.5148.9
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +28.1%
UTA +0.7%
HOU -7.6%
UTA +26.0%
UTA +2.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUUTANBAHOUUTANBA
this game16.115.915.492.1103.3104.5
season15.615.9103.6107.4
opponent15.015.7104.999.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU18.517.814.314.116.1
UTA14.215.816.317.215.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luther Head39420.38-0.881.260.0312-243614.017.8-3.8118.413.74.67
Dikembe Mutombo870.03-0.530.560.001-131419.015.83.1713.716.1-2.36
John Lucas III110.00-0.500.500.000-121210.016.2-6.1816.015.90.11
Juwan Howard3939-0.21-0.290.07-0.16-2-10816.216.00.1717.614.62.93
Charles Hayes6061-0.35-0.15-0.200.03-131-1416.116.1-0.0414.718.4-3.69
Yao Ming6770-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.23-8-4-416.216.00.2116.314.61.65
Tracy McGrady7879-0.590.09-0.69-0.12-164-2016.314.51.8915.121.2-6.08
Rafer Alston7982-0.600.10-0.70-0.28-11-1-1016.017.0-1.0015.916.2-0.37
Shane Battier7474-0.690.19-0.89-0.02-2311-3416.812.74.0615.318.4-3.03

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mehmet Okur76760.76-0.261.030.0325-133815.318.7-3.3216.314.81.48
Andrei Kirilenko66650.68-0.180.850.1219-72615.816.2-0.3716.116.2-0.19
Deron Williams74740.66-0.160.820.1019-72615.019.8-4.8416.912.04.95
Carlos Boozer74740.64-0.140.790.1218-62414.720.9-6.1416.812.93.82
Derek Fisher47450.200.30-0.110.14210-816.215.60.5815.816.5-0.68
Matt Harpring49460.190.31-0.110.19012-1216.515.21.3415.317.0-1.72
Gordan Giricek2423-0.150.65-0.80-0.00-517-2216.215.80.3815.916.2-0.33
Paul Millsap3029-0.220.72-0.94-0.07-517-2219.514.15.3914.516.9-2.42
Jarron Collins1513-0.260.76-1.030.12-1325-3818.715.33.3214.816.3-1.48


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.65,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.9,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 91, CLE 990.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.94,1,193.1%
MIL 96, UTA 1010.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.74,0.65,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.97,1,192.9%
CHI 103, POR 1090.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.7,0.78,0.72,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.58,0.65,0.9,0.8,0.78,0.95,0.96,192.8%