NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	96		Excitement	6.2 [554]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +15.2%
Utah Jazz	101		Comeback	1.5 [1195]		LVP	Johnny Newman (MIL): -13.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vin Baker	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	14	62%	0.12	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Sherman Douglas	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.02	0.05	13	81%	0.22	5	-0.16	6	83%	0.01
Armen Gilliam	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	4	60%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Joe Wolf	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Carruth	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wood	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	9	63%	0.07	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Glenn Robinson	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	0.01	18	60%	0.03	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
Elliot Perry	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	7	39%	-0.05	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.11	-0.01	24	57%	0.23	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.04
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.04	-0.03	5	70%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.02	0.02	13	71%	0.13	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.05
Chris Morris	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	62%	0.05	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Stephen Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	6	39%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	7	47%	0.01	3	-0.12	3	67%	-0.01
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	7	56%	-0.01	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.7	1.7	29.1	14.7	26.2	1.8	37.0	139.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL -2.7%

UTA +19.1%

UTA +10.2%

UTA +21.4%

UTA +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	UTA	NBA	MIL	UTA	NBA
this game	16.1	14.9	15.6	102.1	109.8	104.4
season	16.0	15.6		103.9	110.8
opponent	16.0	15.5		102.2	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	17.7	16.2	17.1	13.3	16.1
UTA	13.7	13.8	14.9	17.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elliot Perry	29	28	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.03	4	-9	13	15.9	16.1	-0.18	17.2	13.9	3.27
Chucky Brown	22	20	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.13	6	-11	17	14.0	16.7	-2.68	15.0	14.9	0.12
Jimmy Carruth	1	0	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-5	5	3.0	16.2	-13.19	0.0	14.9	-14.90
David Wood	4	5	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.07	-4	-1	-3	10.7	16.3	-5.54	5.2	15.5	-10.26
Johnny Newman	65	63	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.34	8	-13	21	14.8	18.8	-3.91	15.3	14.1	1.12
Joe Wolf	13	12	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.03	-7	2	-9	20.0	15.4	4.58	15.6	14.8	0.78
Armen Gilliam	71	71	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.47	4	-9	13	15.3	18.3	-2.92	14.6	16.0	-1.36
Glenn Robinson	79	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.26	-5	0	-5	16.4	14.5	1.89	15.7	11.0	4.66
Ray Allen	36	37	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.00	-15	10	-25	19.4	14.0	5.41	14.0	15.5	-1.55
Vin Baker	85	83	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.31	-7	2	-9	16.2	14.6	1.66	15.1	13.3	1.74
Sherman Douglas	65	64	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.32	-9	4	-13	16.1	15.9	0.18	13.9	17.2	-3.27

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	72	72	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.26	15	-10	25	15.0	14.5	0.51	16.3	15.1	1.26
Karl Malone	75	75	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.41	8	-3	11	14.1	18.5	-4.38	15.7	17.5	-1.78
Jeff Hornacek	67	69	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.35	10	-5	15	13.7	18.1	-4.42	16.1	15.8	0.34
Greg Ostertag	55	56	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.33	4	1	3	15.7	13.7	2.05	16.2	15.8	0.49
Bryon Russell	67	68	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.25	5	0	5	13.6	18.3	-4.69	16.3	15.5	0.82
Adam Keefe	13	13	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	3	-1	17.4	14.5	2.89	14.3	16.3	-2.03
Antoine Carr	29	30	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.07	4	1	3	14.2	15.2	-1.02	16.9	15.7	1.19
Stephen Howard	10	10	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	6	-7	18.1	14.5	3.59	20.7	15.5	5.20
Chris Morris	12	13	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.00	-2	7	-9	19.3	14.2	5.10	16.6	16.0	0.65
Greg Foster	15	17	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.02	-5	10	-15	15.1	14.9	0.28	12.8	16.8	-3.94
Shandon Anderson	25	25	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.00	-5	10	-15	18.1	13.7	4.42	15.8	16.1	-0.34
Howard Eisley	20	22	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.09	-10	15	-25	14.5	15.0	-0.51	15.1	16.3	-1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.74,0.65,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 95, MIL 106	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.65,0.72,0.81,0.89,0.94,1,1	94.1%
WAS 77, CHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.74,0.83,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.93,1	94.0%
PHI 85, LAL 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.84,0.77,0.84,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.58,0.68,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.92,0.95,1,1,1	93.2%