NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	77		Excitement	6.4 [325]		MVP	Toni Kukoc (CHI): +16.4%
Chicago Bulls	83		Comeback	1.4 [211]		LVP	Mitch Richmond (WAS): -30.3%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Wallace	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	69%	0.03	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Jahidi White	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0	75%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.06	-0.00	10	59%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Calbert Cheaney	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	12	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Legler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randell Jackson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	11	25%	-0.14	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rod Strickland	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.29,-0.27,-0.27,-0.25,-0.25	-0.18	-0.08	-0.01	19	36%	-0.17	4	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Mitch Richmond	-0.30	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.25,-0.27,-0.3	-0.17	-0.15	-0.01	12	41%	-0.11	6	-0.19	5	80%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toni Kukoc	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.05	-0.03	18	69%	0.24	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Keith Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	7	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	10	70%	-0.04
Charles R. Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bill Wennington	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Benjamin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kornel David	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	8	30%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Rusty LaRue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cory Carr	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	11	37%	-0.02	3	-0.09	5	40%	-0.01
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	0.01	11	48%	-0.05	5	-0.14	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	1.8	28.0	15.5	24.4	2.4	38.9	132.4
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +61.4%

CHI +4.8%

WAS -13.6%

WAS -3.8%

CHI +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHI	NBA	WAS	CHI	NBA
this game	15.4	16.8	15.8	85.6	93.3	99.6
season	15.5	16.7		98.8	90.6
opponent	15.4	15.9		101.1	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.5	14.7	16.7	16.2	15.4
CHI	13.8	16.0	18.4	19.8	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff McInnis	13	13	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-6	6	14.4	15.6	-1.21	18.2	16.5	1.63
Tim Legler	17	17	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-6	6	14.0	15.8	-1.75	17.3	16.6	0.66
Chris Whitney	5	6	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-6	6	7.6	15.9	-8.28	7.8	17.4	-9.58
Randell Jackson	15	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-4	2	15.5	15.4	0.13	17.0	16.7	0.29
Jahidi White	10	10	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.15	0	-6	6	14.3	15.6	-1.26	22.7	16.0	6.69
Ben Wallace	70	69	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-4	2	16.7	11.0	5.62	17.1	15.5	1.63
Calbert Cheaney	51	52	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.14	-6	0	-6	16.0	14.7	1.33	15.0	19.2	-4.20
Tracy Murray	46	47	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-5	4	13.9	17.0	-3.18	16.8	16.8	0.00
Mitch Richmond	76	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.30	-4	-2	-2	15.4	15.6	-0.18	16.8	16.6	0.20
Otis Thorpe	70	65	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.15	-9	3	-12	15.8	13.9	1.89	17.4	14.9	2.53
Rod Strickland	77	76	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.33	-6	0	-6	15.6	14.4	1.21	16.5	18.2	-1.63

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toni Kukoc	65	67	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.26	12	-6	18	16.8	16.7	0.13	17.0	10.8	6.23
Randy Brown	78	78	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.32	8	-2	10	16.7	17.1	-0.37	15.8	12.8	2.99
Dickey Simpkins	59	58	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.32	6	0	6	17.5	15.3	2.21	14.4	17.2	-2.79
Cory Carr	74	76	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.30	4	2	2	16.8	16.6	0.20	15.4	15.6	-0.18
Kornel David	46	47	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.05	6	0	6	16.8	16.7	0.04	15.6	15.3	0.27
Bill Wennington	5	5	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.14	2	4	-2	25.6	16.2	9.36	17.2	15.3	1.88
Corey Benjamin	24	23	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	7	-8	15.4	17.3	-1.90	13.8	16.0	-2.20
Rusty LaRue	17	18	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	6	-6	17.3	16.6	0.66	15.1	15.5	-0.46
Charles R. Jones	13	11	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	6	-6	11.3	17.7	-6.39	11.5	16.0	-4.42
Keith Booth	3	4	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.07	1	5	-4	10.7	17.0	-6.31	9.5	15.7	-6.20
Mark Bryant	61	63	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.17	-8	14	-22	17.1	15.9	1.22	15.7	14.8	0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.74,0.83,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.93,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 96, UTA 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.74,0.65,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.97,1,1	94.0%
NJN 95, MIL 106	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.65,0.72,0.81,0.89,0.94,1,1	93.3%
DEN 100, SAC 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.8,0.77,0.66,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.83,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.79,0.7,0.6,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.89,1,1	93.2%