NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	95		Excitement	7.2 [307]		MVP	Brandon Jennings (MIL): +22.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	106		Comeback	1.4 [909]		LVP	Armon Johnson (NJN): -12.3%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.08	-0.02	12	57%	0.19	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Johan Petro	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.04	0.01	7	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
MarShon Brooks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.06	0.04	-0.03	18	44%	0.07	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	11	52%	0.11	3	-0.10	1	0%	-0.03
Gerald Wallace	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.04,0,0,0	0.06	-0.05	0.01	12	64%	0.06	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.02
Sundiata Gaines	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.04	-0.00	8	65%	0.02	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Jordan Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Armon Johnson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Jennings	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.21,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.09	0.16	0.02	18	64%	0.33	4	-0.10	11	82%	0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.08	0.01	13	57%	0.15	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.00	2	67%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.04	0.04	5	75%	0.10	1	-0.03	6	67%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.14,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.05	-0.01	14	39%	0.05	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	13	52%	0.10	5	-0.14	5	80%	-0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	9	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	1.6	29.2	15.6	26.5	2.6	28.5	125.1
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +14.9%

MIL +11.9%

MIL +15.1%

MIL +6.6%

MIL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MIL	NBA	NJN	MIL	NBA
this game	15.8	13.0	15.6	95.0	106.0	102.8
season	16.2	14.6		101.3	103.8
opponent	15.6	15.2		103.4	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	17.2	17.7	13.1	15.2	15.8
MIL	12.8	10.4	15.2	13.7	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Armon Johnson	40	39	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.05	6	-17	23	15.9	15.7	0.24	12.9	13.1	-0.12
Johan Petro	43	39	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.08	4	-15	19	15.7	15.8	-0.10	12.9	13.1	-0.12
DeShawn Stevenson	21	18	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-11	11	16.5	15.6	0.94	11.9	13.3	-1.38
Anthony Morrow	40	38	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-10	9	15.8	15.7	0.07	12.9	13.1	-0.24
Jordan Williams	43	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	-5	-1	15.9	15.7	0.22	13.0	13.0	0.00
Gerald Green	52	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-6	1	15.0	16.7	-1.71	13.2	12.9	0.28
Gerald Wallace	72	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-3	-5	15.4	16.6	-1.20	13.3	12.3	0.94
Kris Humphries	67	69	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.17	-12	1	-13	16.5	14.3	2.16	13.5	12.0	1.43
Sundiata Gaines	57	57	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.18	-15	4	-19	16.0	15.4	0.59	13.0	13.0	-0.05
MarShon Brooks	65	68	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.12	-18	7	-25	15.4	16.4	-0.95	12.7	13.7	-1.07

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Gooden	71	69	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.13	23	-12	35	12.5	14.2	-1.62	15.8	15.8	-0.09
Luc Mbah a Moute	90	89	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.14	17	-6	23	12.8	15.2	-2.42	16.1	13.2	2.92
Ersan Ilyasova	72	72	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.27	10	1	9	12.9	13.2	-0.32	15.5	16.5	-1.05
Brandon Jennings	81	80	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.11	13	-2	15	12.8	13.9	-1.08	15.6	16.5	-0.96
Monta Ellis	67	66	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.15	7	4	3	13.8	11.5	2.25	15.9	15.5	0.38
Shaun Livingston	37	36	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.06	4	7	-3	12.5	13.3	-0.85	14.3	16.6	-2.30
Beno Udrih	19	21	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	11	-11	12.5	13.1	-0.61	17.7	15.3	2.39
Mike Dunleavy	34	36	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.00	-7	18	-25	13.7	12.7	1.08	16.1	15.6	0.56
Ekpe Udoh	29	31	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	0.05	-12	23	-35	14.2	12.5	1.62	15.8	15.8	0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.65,0.72,0.81,0.89,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 96, UTA 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.74,0.65,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.97,1,1	94.1%
HOU 108, CHH 114	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.4,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.88,0.91,0.87,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.63,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.96,0.97,0.98,1	93.4%
WAS 77, CHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.74,0.83,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.93,1	93.3%