NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	108		Excitement	6.5 [492]		MVP	Dell Curry (CHH): +23.2%
Charlotte Hornets	114		Comeback	1.6 [782]		LVP	Brent Price (HOU): -12.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clyde Drexler	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23	0.24	0.01	0.03	19	83%	0.29	2	-0.06	9	100%	0.06
Sam Mack	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	7	57%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	5	82%	0.11	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Mario Elie	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	4	85%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Matt Bullard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	4	75%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.12	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	28	43%	0.00	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.03
Brent Price	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	2	50%	0.01	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23	0.23	0.11	0.11	-0.01	17	62%	0.23	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Glen Rice	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	25	64%	0.25	3	-0.11	16	87%	0.05
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.02	0.01	5	79%	0.05	0	0.00	14	79%	-0.01
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
George Zidek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	10	52%	-0.02	3	-0.06	5	20%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	53.6	0.8	24.5	15.5	31.3	2.5	39.4	167.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU -0.7%

CHH +15.4%

CHH +24.3%

CHH +18.2%

HOU -7.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	CHH	NBA	HOU	CHH	NBA
this game	15.2	14.9	15.6	112.5	120.0	104.4
season	15.5	15.7		107.2	108.0
opponent	16.0	15.4		106.5	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.2	15.0	15.7	14.2	15.2
CHH	16.5	14.3	14.3	14.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Livingston	25	25	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.06	9	-15	24	14.5	15.5	-1.01	14.2	15.2	-0.93
Othella Harrington	47	47	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.20	12	-18	30	14.7	15.7	-1.03	14.8	15.1	-0.32
Matt Bullard	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-6	6	12.0	15.3	-3.26	0.0	15.1	-15.09
Sam Mack	24	23	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-4	2	15.6	15.1	0.53	13.8	15.3	-1.45
Brent Price	33	32	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	3	-12	16.3	14.7	1.59	13.6	15.6	-1.96
Clyde Drexler	79	80	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.37	0	-6	6	14.8	17.0	-2.15	15.4	12.4	3.00
Mario Elie	78	77	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.29	-3	-3	0	15.1	16.0	-0.95	15.0	14.7	0.32
Kevin Willis	57	57	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.23	-7	1	-8	15.0	15.5	-0.52	15.8	13.6	2.25
Matt Maloney	49	48	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.14	-13	7	-20	15.6	14.8	0.78	15.8	14.0	1.75
Hakeem Olajuwon	87	85	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.22	-17	11	-28	15.7	10.8	4.91	14.6	17.8	-3.21

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Rice	95	96	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	0	6	14.9	0.0	14.93	15.2	0.0	15.23
Muggsy Bogues	58	61	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.10	19	-13	32	15.4	14.2	1.25	17.0	12.2	4.81
Dell Curry	70	71	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.37	2	4	-2	14.2	16.9	-2.71	14.7	16.6	-1.85
Vlade Divac	64	64	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.37	2	4	-2	15.3	14.2	1.09	15.8	14.0	1.80
Tony Smith	39	37	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.24	4	2	2	15.8	14.3	1.47	15.2	15.3	-0.07
George Zidek	42	43	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.07	6	0	6	13.9	15.8	-1.87	14.8	15.6	-0.79
Anthony Mason	67	66	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.29	-4	10	-14	15.8	12.9	2.93	15.2	15.2	-0.01
Malik Rose	17	19	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.07	8	-2	10	12.8	15.4	-2.63	14.2	15.5	-1.27
Tony Delk	23	23	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	0.14	-13	19	-32	14.4	15.1	-0.71	12.1	16.2	-4.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.4,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.88,0.91,0.87,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.63,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.96,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 95, MIL 106	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.65,0.72,0.81,0.89,0.94,1,1	93.4%
DEN 87, SAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	93.3%
NYK 92, SAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.73,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1	93.0%