NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	85		Excitement	6.4 [510]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +11.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	96		Comeback	1.5 [951]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -26.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.03	0.04	12	78%	0.17	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
George Lynch	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	-0.00	-0.02	10	60%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	6	36%	-0.05	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Snow	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.15	-0.09	0.00	10	20%	-0.15	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.27	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.10	-0.08	0.09	27	43%	-0.21	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.08	0.06	28	59%	0.16	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.01
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	0.00	0.06	5	108%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Mike Penberthy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.13	0.10	-0.02	28	44%	0.12	4	-0.13	6	83%	0.03
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	6	42%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	7	55%	-0.02	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.7	30.8	18.5	27.4	2.8	34.0	141.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +41.5%

LAL +6.1%

LAL +7.1%

PHI -2.9%

PHI -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	LAL	NBA	PHI	LAL	NBA
this game	15.1	15.5	15.5	91.4	101.1	100.9
season	15.7	15.6		101.4	106.8
opponent	15.2	15.5		101.8	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.9	14.2	16.4	16.2	15.1
LAL	14.9	15.8	17.8	13.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nazr Mohammed	30	29	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-12	13	15.6	14.9	0.74	16.4	15.1	1.26
Vernon Maxwell	11	12	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-7	3	14.3	15.2	-0.97	15.1	15.6	-0.48
Todd MacCulloch	29	31	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.12	-4	-7	3	16.1	14.7	1.37	15.3	15.6	-0.32
Toni Kukoc	29	30	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	-3	-5	14.9	15.2	-0.29	16.9	14.9	1.99
Tyrone Hill	41	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.06	-7	-4	-3	15.2	15.0	0.21	16.6	14.7	1.94
George Lynch	58	59	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-3	-5	14.9	15.5	-0.57	15.4	15.7	-0.26
Eric Snow	78	80	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-7	3	15.5	13.2	2.30	15.5	15.7	-0.27
Aaron McKie	52	53	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.19	-5	-6	1	14.8	15.5	-0.69	15.1	16.0	-0.93
Theo Ratliff	51	53	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.13	-8	-3	-5	15.3	15.0	0.32	14.6	16.7	-2.08
Allen Iverson	86	87	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.19	-8	-3	-5	14.7	20.9	-6.19	15.3	18.0	-2.72

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ron Harper	62	59	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.27	10	1	9	15.6	15.4	0.17	15.2	15.1	0.11
Kobe Bryant	86	86	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.12	15	-4	19	15.4	16.4	-1.04	15.4	12.3	3.07
Shaquille O'Neal	88	85	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.19	11	0	11	15.5	15.0	0.55	14.9	17.6	-2.73
Brian Shaw	45	44	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.02	14	-3	17	14.2	16.6	-2.40	15.5	14.8	0.75
Robert Horry	34	33	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.18	5	6	-1	14.4	16.1	-1.66	16.0	14.6	1.40
Horace Grant	66	67	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.01	9	2	7	16.1	14.2	1.92	15.0	15.6	-0.62
Rick Fox	50	49	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.07	3	8	-5	16.4	14.5	1.89	15.2	15.0	0.16
Mark Madsen	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	8.0	15.6	-7.59	12.0	15.2	-3.16
Greg Foster	3	3	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	11	-11	17.7	15.4	2.23	16.0	15.1	0.90
Mike Penberthy	15	15	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.11	-6	17	-23	17.1	15.2	1.93	11.2	15.9	-4.68
Isaiah Rider	25	23	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.04	-6	17	-23	15.0	15.7	-0.69	15.9	14.9	1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.84,0.77,0.84,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.58,0.68,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.92,0.95,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 98, DEN 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.95,1,1,1,1	94.1%
BKN 97, PHI 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.91,0.78,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.76,0.87,0.96,0.93,1,0.98,1	93.8%
LAL 112, CLE 121	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.79,0.87,0.68,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.99,0.99,1	93.4%