NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	97		Excitement	5.6 [674]		MVP	Spencer Hawes (PHI): +19.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	106		Comeback	1.8 [275]		LVP	Gerald Wallace (BKN): -10.3%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.17	0.17	0.05	0.05	11	83%	0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Deron Williams	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.03	-0.01	19	60%	0.17	1	-0.03	7	71%	0.02
Brook Lopez	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.01	0.02	13	66%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
CJ Watson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.04	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Mirza Teletovic	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	7	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	9	45%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Gerald Wallace	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	8	25%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.06	0.00	15	67%	0.22	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	-0.00	8	76%	0.18	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.01	10	75%	0.16	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.01	8	62%	0.12	1	-0.04	8	75%	-0.03
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	9	62%	0.04	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.06
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.03	-0.02	18	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Arnett Moultrie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.5	2.5	25.8	15.0	27.1	1.8	33.2	124.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +46.6%

PHI +1.8%

BKN -7.5%

PHI +10.2%

BKN -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	PHI	NBA	BKN	PHI	NBA
this game	17.7	15.6	15.4	112.8	121.8	104.1
season	16.5	15.5		106.5	100.5
opponent	15.7	15.4		104.2	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	16.0	20.5	18.7	16.0	17.7
PHI	16.0	14.8	15.6	16.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Watson	24	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-7	5	18.4	17.5	0.91	13.7	16.4	-2.67
Andray Blatche	29	30	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.10	0	-9	9	17.5	17.8	-0.31	15.5	15.6	-0.18
Gerald Wallace	46	45	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-8	7	17.8	17.6	0.23	16.1	15.0	1.09
MarShon Brooks	5	6	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	-2	-5	15.8	17.8	-2.04	10.0	16.0	-6.00
Reggie Evans	58	58	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-6	3	17.4	18.3	-0.84	14.8	17.2	-2.38
Mirza Teletovic	28	29	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	-3	-3	18.3	17.4	0.84	17.2	14.8	2.38
Joe Johnson	64	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.14	-5	-4	-1	18.3	16.1	2.19	16.6	13.0	3.63
Keith Bogans	46	47	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.16	-8	-1	-7	17.5	17.9	-0.43	15.7	15.4	0.30
Brook Lopez	57	57	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.14	-9	0	-9	17.8	17.5	0.31	15.6	15.5	0.18
Deron Williams	73	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.30	-4	-5	1	17.2	20.6	-3.41	15.4	16.6	-1.16

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Turner	69	68	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.22	7	2	5	16.0	13.9	2.07	17.7	17.8	-0.07
Spencer Hawes	62	62	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.26	5	4	1	16.0	14.5	1.55	17.3	18.8	-1.54
Thaddeus Young	65	64	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.19	5	4	1	16.3	13.6	2.67	17.9	17.2	0.66
Damien Wilkins	47	47	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.24	1	8	-7	15.8	15.4	0.39	17.0	18.6	-1.64
Lavoy Allen	29	29	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.06	7	2	5	13.0	16.9	-3.83	17.9	17.6	0.32
Jrue Holiday	68	68	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.22	1	8	-7	15.9	14.6	1.22	17.4	18.8	-1.34
Dorell Wright	38	37	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.04	6	3	3	13.9	16.9	-2.91	18.1	17.4	0.63
Charles Jenkins	27	27	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.01	7	2	5	15.6	15.6	0.01	18.1	17.5	0.57
Royal Ivey	14	12	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	4	1	14.4	15.8	-1.38	19.7	17.4	2.36
Arnett Moultrie	16	16	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.03	1	8	-7	17.1	15.2	1.89	18.7	17.5	1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.91,0.78,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.76,0.87,0.96,0.93,1,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 85, LAL 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.84,0.77,0.84,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.58,0.68,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.92,0.95,1,1,1	93.8%
CHI 90, IND 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.8,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.72,0.81,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.7%
DEN 83, DET 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.96,1,1	93.7%