NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	83		Excitement	6.0 [573]		MVP	Anthony Goldwire (DEN): +5.3%
Detroit Pistons	92		Comeback	2.1 [958]		LVP	LaPhonso Ellis (DEN): -22.5%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Goldwire	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	69%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Danny Fortson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	6	71%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Priest Lauderdale	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.03	8	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.02
Dean Garrett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Washington	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.03	10	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	11	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Tony Battie	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.05	0.01	11	36%	-0.08	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	-0.22	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.20	-0.04	-0.02	13	23%	-0.10	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	57%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	12	44%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.05	-0.02	6	42%	0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Charles O'Bannon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	2	67%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Bison Dele	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	0.03	17	51%	0.01	1	-0.03	7	43%	-0.08
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	13	41%	-0.04	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	0.02	0.01	17	40%	-0.03	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.02
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	6	37%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	12	45%	-0.03	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.5	2.6	29.4	15.8	26.5	2.3	36.5	132.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN -8.8%

DET +16.6%

DET +33.6%

DET +10.7%

DEN -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	DET	NBA	DEN	DET	NBA
this game	14.6	16.7	15.6	90.2	100.0	102.5
season	16.2	15.9		96.7	102.8
opponent	15.9	15.2		101.1	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.3	14.4	15.9	13.7	14.6
DET	17.7	18.3	14.8	16.3	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Fortson	45	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.10	-1	-8	7	13.7	15.4	-1.63	17.9	15.8	2.06
Priest Lauderdale	38	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.26	3	-12	15	13.3	15.5	-2.22	19.9	14.7	5.27
Anthony Goldwire	46	45	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.18	-2	-7	5	13.8	15.3	-1.57	17.1	16.4	0.77
Bobby Jackson	68	68	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.13	-4	-5	1	14.6	14.5	0.03	15.7	19.7	-3.96
Tony Battie	41	43	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.10	-5	-4	-1	15.6	13.7	1.88	16.3	17.1	-0.73
Dean Garrett	50	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-10	1	-11	16.0	12.9	3.06	15.9	17.8	-1.97
Eric Washington	63	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.18	-6	-3	-3	14.3	15.2	-0.89	16.7	16.9	-0.22
Johnny Newman	58	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.14	-8	-1	-7	14.0	15.5	-1.44	17.5	15.5	2.02
LaPhonso Ellis	51	54	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	3	-15	15.7	13.1	2.56	15.1	19.1	-3.94

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindsey Hunter	85	86	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.24	8	1	7	16.1	24.4	-8.32	14.8	11.3	3.46
Joe Dumars	66	62	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.23	7	2	5	16.9	16.4	0.49	15.5	12.6	2.97
Jerome Williams	44	46	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.16	7	2	5	17.8	15.7	2.07	13.8	15.3	-1.57
Grant Hill	74	73	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.16	5	4	1	17.1	15.1	2.02	14.4	15.1	-0.61
Theo Ratliff	55	52	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.35	-3	12	-15	18.0	14.9	3.09	15.6	13.2	2.42
Bison Dele	60	60	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.17	2	7	-5	16.8	16.6	0.18	15.1	13.6	1.49
Don Reid	12	14	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.04	7	2	5	12.7	17.3	-4.59	15.0	14.5	0.51
Aaron McKie	18	18	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.08	8	1	7	13.1	17.6	-4.51	14.8	14.5	0.26
Charles O'Bannon	26	29	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	9	-9	16.8	16.7	0.10	12.7	15.4	-2.69
Malik Sealy	20	20	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.08	4	5	-1	17.1	16.6	0.46	10.7	15.6	-4.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.96,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 87, SEA 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.92,0.88,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	95.2%
CLE 86, IND 93	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.88,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.93,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,1	94.6%
ORL 80, BOS 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.54,0.68,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.1%