NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	86		Excitement	5.2 [764]		MVP	Rodney Stuckey (IND): +16.2%
Indiana Pacers	93		Comeback	2.6 [221]		LVP	Matthew Dellavedova (CLE): -17.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.02	0.06	-0.03	19	40%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.06
J.R. Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.03,0.02	0.08	-0.04	0.03	17	57%	0.03	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	73%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
James Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.04	6	43%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Mike Miller	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	17	41%	-0.02	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	0.00	18	37%	-0.10	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.04	-0.03	16	59%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.01	7	72%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	80%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.09	10	40%	0.02	2	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Damjan Rudez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	6	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	9	11%	-0.09
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	44%	-0.00	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
David West	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	12	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	15	39%	0.02	2	-0.07	8	87%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.5	32.3	15.5	28.4	2.4	35.6	139.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +41.7%

CLE -3.5%

CLE -11.7%

IND +22.2%

IND +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	IND	NBA	CLE	IND	NBA
this game	16.7	14.6	15.1	94.5	100.0	104.2
season	15.9	16.0		108.7	102.3
opponent	15.0	14.9		102.0	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.1	17.7	17.8	15.3	16.7
IND	15.2	13.0	14.3	16.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Timofey Mozgov	34	35	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.14	6	-13	19	17.5	16.3	1.19	15.9	13.8	2.10
Mike Miller	26	26	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-9	11	17.5	16.4	1.03	13.6	15.0	-1.42
Kendrick Perkins	25	28	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.08	-3	-4	1	14.9	17.4	-2.54	13.4	15.1	-1.78
J.R. Smith	58	60	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-7	7	16.0	18.0	-2.00	15.2	13.5	1.73
James Jones	59	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-3	-1	17.1	16.1	1.02	13.6	16.3	-2.71
Kevin Love	65	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-6	5	17.5	14.7	2.79	15.6	12.5	3.08
Iman Shumpert	61	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.26	-5	-2	-3	16.6	17.1	-0.51	14.9	14.0	0.89
Tristan Thompson	56	56	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.12	-15	8	-23	16.5	17.1	-0.59	13.8	15.8	-2.05
Matthew Dellavedova	71	74	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.13	-15	8	-23	16.6	17.0	-0.42	14.6	14.4	0.23

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Hill	65	64	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.22	8	-1	9	14.8	14.1	0.76	16.6	17.0	-0.34
Rodney Stuckey	62	61	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.11	11	-4	15	14.5	14.9	-0.45	16.4	17.3	-0.91
David West	64	62	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.25	6	1	5	15.2	13.3	1.93	16.6	16.9	-0.30
CJ Miles	63	61	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.16	9	-2	11	15.3	13.1	2.17	16.2	17.8	-1.55
Ian Mahinmi	35	36	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.10	14	-7	21	13.2	15.4	-2.25	16.6	16.8	-0.23
Luis Scola	45	45	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.24	-1	8	-9	14.4	14.8	-0.39	17.1	16.4	0.68
CJ Watson	32	31	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.08	1	6	-5	13.6	15.1	-1.54	17.3	16.4	0.91
Solomon Hill	34	33	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.20	-4	11	-15	15.1	14.3	0.77	17.0	16.6	0.38
Roy Hibbert	41	38	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.20	-5	12	-17	15.1	14.2	0.89	16.8	16.7	0.11
Damjan Rudez	24	24	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	11	-15	13.2	15.1	-1.93	17.7	16.4	1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.88,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.93,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 83, DET 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.96,1,1	94.6%
LAL 87, GSW 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1	93.8%
ATL 94, CLE 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.61,0.65,0.71,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%